WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. · $228.41 Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底 Terminal终端 ↗

All coverage所有股票 · Consumer Disc.

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. · Consumer Disc.

WSM

$228.41
Williams-Sonoma, Inc., is an American publicly traded consumer retail company that sells kitchenware and home furnishings. It is headquartered in San Francisco, California, United States.Williams-Sonoma,Inc.是一家美国上市零售公司，销售厨房用品和家居装饰品，总部位于美国加利福尼亚州旧金山。
Cyclical周期股 Large cap大盘 $27B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 215.93.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 215.93 则明确离场。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$228.41
4.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 4.6%
Market Cap市值
$27B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
24.9x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.24
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
59
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
9th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.4% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 WSM S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.3% -1.5% Beat the index by 4.8 points跑赢指数 4.8 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +3.3% +0.6% Beat the index by 2.7 points跑赢指数 2.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +15.0% +4.7% Beat the index by 10.3 points跑赢指数 10.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +8.4% +7.8% In line with the index与指数基本持平
Year to date年初至今 +22.5% +9.1% Beat the index by 13.4 points跑赢指数 13.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +36.2% +19.4% Beat the index by 16.8 points跑赢指数 16.8 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 59 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +9.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +16.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 9th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$226.05
Don't chase above不追高于
$230.30
Stop止损
$215.90
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 WSM Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 24.93x 20.23
32%
P/B市净率 13.03x 2.97
10%
P/S市销率 3.47x 1.23
11%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.01% 4.53
39%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 3.89% 5.69
35%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 4.31% 4.31
51%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 15.85x 11.48
26%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 25.70x 16.53
30%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$6.8B
2020
$8.2B
2021
$8.7B
2022
$7.8B
2023
$7.7B
2024
$7.8B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$8.61
2020
$14.75
2021
$16.32
2022
$14.55
2023
$8.79
2024
$8.84
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 0.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$1.1B
2020
$1.1B
2021
$698.7M
2022
$1.5B
2023
$1.1B
2024
$1.1B
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
46.2%
Operating margin营业利润率
18.1%
Net margin净利率
13.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
16.8%
52.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
20.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.62
Current ratio流动比率1.39
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$854.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$106.5M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-3.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.8) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 23% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 23% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.24×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight) theme — #34 of 46 themes「非必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 34 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -11.9%空头仓位变动 -11.9%
Technical技术面 WSM took relative-strength leadershipWSM 取得相对强弱领先

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.36%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.28%
Call wall看涨密集区
$240
Put wall看跌密集区
$220
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$217
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.7%
Skew: 偏斜：fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$22.4M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$22.4M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY. A new cycle low likely formed 4 day(s) ago (2026-07-13 @ 215.93): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — and the weekly timeframe agrees买入。新的周期低点可能已在 4 天前形成 （2026-07-13 @ 215.93）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——且周线周期也一致确认
FRESH BUY BUY ZONE
Jul 16, 2026
WSM took relative-strength leadershipWSM 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $227.62.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$227.62。
Jul 16, 2026
WSM StochRSI turned up from oversoldWSM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $227.62.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$227.62。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
WSM daily MACD crossed downWSM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $227.39.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$227.39。
Jun 29, 2026
WSM made a new 52-week highWSM 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $239.37.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$239.37。
Jun 24, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 24, 2026
WSM made a new 52-week highWSM 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $234.88.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$234.88。
Jun 24, 2026
WSM RSI reached overboughtWSM RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $234.88.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$234.88。
Jun 23, 2026
WSM took relative-strength leadershipWSM 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $225.39.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$225.39。
Jun 17, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 101 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.37
Value价值
-0.7
Profitability盈利能力
+2.0
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.1

Company Profile公司档案

Williams-Sonoma, Inc., is an American publicly traded consumer retail company that sells kitchenware and home furnishings. It is headquartered in San Francisco, California, United States.Williams-Sonoma,Inc.是一家美国上市零售公司，销售厨房用品和家居装饰品，总部位于美国加利福尼亚州旧金山。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。
Open Analyzer打开分析器 Browse All Stocks浏览所有股票