Darden Restaurants · Consumer Disc.
DRI
$198.53
Darden Restaurants, Inc. is an American multi-brand restaurant operator headquartered in Orlando, Florida.达登餐饮公司是一家总部位于佛罗里达州奥兰多的美国多品牌餐厅运营商。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$23B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 195.74.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 195.74 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$198.53
8.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.5%
Market Cap市值
$23B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
0.26
Moves about 0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-06-25 (-24d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
60th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | DRI | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.8% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 1.3 points落后指数 1.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -5.3% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 5.9 points落后指数 5.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -1.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 6.0 points落后指数 6.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -6.8% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 14.6 points落后指数 14.6 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +7.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 1.4 points落后指数 1.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -1.9% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 21.3 points落后指数 21.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-1.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+2.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
60th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$194.15
Don't chase above不追高于
$198.50
Stop止损
$195.70
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -8.3% (20d)财报后漂移：-8.3%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | DRI | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 11.17x | 2.97 | 14% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.57% | 5.69 | 39% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 13.37x | 11.48 | 38% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 21.86x | 16.53 | 34% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.01 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.42 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $418.2M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $79.1M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 30% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 30% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.26×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight) theme — #34 of 46 themes「非必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 34 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
DRI weekly MACD crossed downDRI 周线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.76%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.94%
Call wall看涨密集区
$210
Put wall看跌密集区
$190
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$198
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.4%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$7.7M net (0 buyers, 9 sellers)-$7.7M 净值（0 买家，9 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
DRI weekly MACD crossed downDRI 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 17, 2026
DRI StochRSI turned up from oversoldDRI StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $198.53.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$198.53。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
DRI broke down vs the marketDRI 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $196.69.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$196.69。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → TOPPING上涨趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 29, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
DRI daily MACD crossed downDRI 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $204.05.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$204.05。
Jun 24, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 17, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.25
Value价值
-2.1
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2
Company Profile公司档案
Darden Restaurants, Inc. is an American multi-brand restaurant operator headquartered in Orlando, Florida.达登餐饮公司是一家总部位于佛罗里达州奥兰多的美国多品牌餐厅运营商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。