PulteGroup · Consumer Disc.
PHM
$126.08
PulteGroup, Inc. is an American residential home-construction company based in Atlanta, Georgia, United States.PulteGroup公司是一家美国住宅建筑公司，总部位于美国佐治亚州亚特兰大。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$24B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–5 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–5 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$126.08
11.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 11.4%
Market Cap市值
$24B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
10.9x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.88
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
87th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | PHM | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.1% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.6 points跑赢指数 2.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 2.8 points跑赢指数 2.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -0.4% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 5.1 points落后指数 5.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -3.0% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 10.8 points落后指数 10.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +6.1% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 3.0 points落后指数 3.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +16.0% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 3.4 points落后指数 3.4 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+3.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+1.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
87th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$124.60
Don't chase above不追高于
$127.30
Stop止损
$121.90
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | PHM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 10.95x | 20.23 | 82% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.87x | 2.97 | 66% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.40x | 1.23 | 45% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 9.13% | 4.53 | 84% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.20% | 5.69 | 67% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.94% | 4.31 | 58% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 13.90x | 16.53 | 64% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 16.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
17.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
12.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.2B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $54.8M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -5.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/7
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 65% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 65% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.88×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Housing Chain theme — #25 of 46 themes「住房产业链」主题 — 46 个主题中第 25 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
PHM StochRSI turned up from oversoldPHM StochRSI自超卖区上行
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.34%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.23%
Call wall看涨密集区
$140
Put wall看跌密集区
$125
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$134
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.1%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 14 fresh positions; P/C 0.33; net UNWIND (open interest closing) (ΔOI -2,420); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；14个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.33；净平仓（未平仓量下降）（ΔOI -2,420）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$25.1M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$25.1M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basswood Capital Management | B | Holding持有 | 0.8% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
PHM StochRSI turned up from oversoldPHM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $129.02.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$129.02。
Jul 14, 2026
PHM reclaimed its 200-day averagePHM 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $124.56.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$124.56。
Jul 13, 2026
PHM lost its 200-day averagePHM 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $123.75.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$123.75。
Jul 10, 2026
PHM reclaimed its 200-day averagePHM 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $124.75.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$124.75。
Jul 8, 2026
PHM lost its 200-day averagePHM 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $122.94.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$122.94。
Jul 7, 2026
PHM daily MACD crossed downPHM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $129.92.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$129.92。
Jul 6, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 92 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.05
Value价值
+0.5
Quality质量
-1.0
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.4
Company Profile公司档案
PulteGroup, Inc. is an American residential home-construction company based in Atlanta, Georgia, United States.PulteGroup公司是一家美国住宅建筑公司，总部位于美国佐治亚州亚特兰大。
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