EXPE Expedia Group · $268.77 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

Expedia Group · Consumer Disc.

EXPE

$268.77

Expedia Group, Inc. is an American travel technology company that owns and operates travel fare aggregators and travel metasearch engines, including Expedia, Hotels.com, Vrbo, Travelocity, Hotwire.com, Orbitz, Ebookers, CheapTickets, CarRentals.com, Expedia Cruises, Wotif, and Trivago.ExpediaGroup,Inc.是一家美国旅游科技公司，拥有并运营旅游票价聚合器和旅游元搜索引擎，包括Expedia、Hotels.com、Vrbo、Travelocity、Hotwire.com、Orbitz、Ebookers、CheapTickets、CarRentals.com、ExpediaCruises、Wotif和Trivago。

Distressed困境股 Large cap大盘 $31B

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤

Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。

Engine levels · 52-week range引擎点位 · 52周区间

$269

$225

$269

$280

$262

$170$308

Price现价 $269Trail stop止损线 $225Don't chase勿追高 $269Call wall看涨期权墙 $280Put wall看跌期权墙 $262 Buy zone买入区 $261–$267

Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$268.77

10.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 10.4%

Market Cap市值

$31B

Normal volume正常成交量

P/E Ratio市盈率

24.2x

20.2x sector median

Beta贝塔

1.20

Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Elevated偏高

Next Earnings下次财报

2026-08-06 (18d)

Volatility Rank波动率分位

59th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Short Interest空头兴趣

8.0% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期	EXPE	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	-0.8%	-1.5%	In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月	+12.2%	+0.6%	Beat the index by 11.6 points跑赢指数 11.6 个百分点
3 Months近3月	+1.3%	+4.7%	Lagged the index by 3.4 points落后指数 3.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月	-5.3%	+7.8%	Lagged the index by 13.1 points落后指数 13.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今	-4.6%	+9.1%	Lagged the index by 13.7 points落后指数 13.7 个百分点
1 Year近1年	+48.8%	+19.4%	Beat the index by 29.4 points跑赢指数 29.4 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 60 Elevated偏高

vs 50-day相对50日均线 +11.9% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 +10.2% vs 200-day avg

Volatility rank波动率分位 59th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Buy zone买入区间

$264.40

Don't chase above不追高于

$268.80

Stop止损

$224.70

Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

days until next report天后公布财报

2026-08-06

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标	EXPE	Sector median行业中位	Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史）	24.17x	20.23	35%
P/B市净率	24.49x	2.97	3%
P/S市销率	2.13x	1.23	28%
Earnings yield盈利收益率	4.14%	4.53	42%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率	9.89%	5.69	81%
Shareholder yield股东收益率	6.77%	4.31	73%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA	11.67x	11.48	47%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流	10.11x	16.53	79%

Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入

$5.2B

2020

$8.6B

2021

$11.7B

2022

$12.8B

2023

$13.7B

2024

$14.7B

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 23.2%

Earnings Per Share每股收益

$-19.00

2020

$-1.80

2021

$2.17

2022

$5.31

2023

$8.95

2024

$9.81

2025

Free Cash Flow自由现金流

-$4.6B

2020

$3.1B

2021

$2.8B

2022

$1.8B

2023

$2.3B

2024

$3.1B

2025

Margins利润率

Operating margin营业利润率

12.7%

Net margin净利率

8.8%

FCF margin自由现金流利润率

26.3%

101.3%Return on Equity股本回报率

5.3%Return on Assets资产回报率

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA	0.27
Current ratio流动比率	0.73

Capital Allocation资本配置

Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）	$1.9B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬	$398.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）	-5.1%

Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.6) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业

Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理

Cheaper than 39% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 39% 的公司

Beta市场敏感度

1.20×

0.21×3×

Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍

Financial Health财务健康

6/8

Altman阿尔特曼: distress

Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般

Dividend分红

—

Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Travel & Experiences theme — #19 of 46 themes「旅行与体验」主题 — 46 个主题中第 19 位

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。

Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +25.8%空头仓位变动 +25.8%

Technical技术面 EXPE StochRSI turned up from oversoldEXPE StochRSI自超卖区上行

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动

±3.75%

Expected weekly move预期周波动

±8.39%

Call wall看涨密集区

$280

Put wall看跌密集区

$262

25d risk reversal25d风险逆转

-2.7%

Flow资金流向

$2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 9 fresh positions; P/C 0.53; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占0%；9个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.53；≈偏看涨（方向近似）

Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.3M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$3.3M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点

TAKE PROFITS. Late in the daily cycle (day 37 of ~23-44) — odds favor a dip into the next cycle low from here even with the trend intact. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。处于日线周期晚期（约 23-44 天中的第 37 天）——即便趋势完好，从此处概率上仍倾向于回落至下一个周期低点。上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号

TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH

Jul 16, 2026

EXPE StochRSI turned up from oversoldEXPE StochRSI自超卖区上行

StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $270.95.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$270.95。

Jul 15, 2026

EXPE daily MACD crossed downEXPE 日线MACD下穿

The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $267.11.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$267.11。

Jul 9, 2026

BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势

HOLD持有

Jul 8, 2026

BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中