Walmart · Staples
WMT
$114.24
Walmart Inc. is an American multinational omnichannel retail corporation that operates a chain of hypermarkets, discount department stores, grocery stores, pharmacies, and gas stations in the United States and 19 other countries.沃尔玛公司是一家美国跨国全渠道零售企业，在美国及其他19个国家运营连锁超市、折扣百货店、食品杂货店、药店和加油站。
Mixed profile混合特征
Mega cap超大盘
$911B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 108.82.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 108.82 下方。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$114.24
14.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 14.9%
Market Cap市值
$911B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
41.6x
24.1x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
34.8x
EPS每股收益 $2.75
Beta贝塔
-0.06
Moves about -0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.1 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.87%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
69th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | WMT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.8 points跑赢指数 1.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -3.3% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 3.9 points落后指数 3.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -10.2% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 14.9 points落后指数 14.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -4.2% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 12.0 points落后指数 12.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +1.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 7.4 points落后指数 7.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +21.1% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 1.7 points跑赢指数 1.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +129.1% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 59.7 points跑赢指数 59.7 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +158.1% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 74.2 points跑赢指数 74.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (21)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-4.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-2.5% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
22
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
69th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$113.20
Don't chase above不追高于
$114.20
Stop止损
$108.80
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -2.7% (20d)财报后漂移：-2.7%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | WMT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 41.59x | 24.10 | 15% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 34.8x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 9.14x | 3.38 | 17% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.28x | 1.28 | 50% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.40% | 3.76 | 26% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.64% | 4.71 | 10% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.71% | 2.48 | 44% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 61.01x | 21.12 | 5% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -10.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
22.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.79 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $8.1B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $3.6B |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.2)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 23% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 23% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.06×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
0.87%
Pays a dividend (0.87% yield)有分红（收益率 0.87%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
WMT broke down vs the marketWMT 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.84%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.11%
Call wall看涨密集区
$115
Put wall看跌密集区
$105
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$114
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
1.2%
Flow资金流向
$32M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 43 fresh positions; P/C 0.65; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $32M；0DTE占0%；43个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.65；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1881.1M net (0 buyers, 11 sellers)-$1881.1M 净值（0 买家，11 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | Adding加仓 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Gates Foundation Trust | D | Holding持有 | 3.3% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 14, 2026
WMT broke down vs the marketWMT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $113.70.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$113.70。
Jul 10, 2026
WMT daily MACD crossed upWMT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $113.90.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$113.90。
Jul 9, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 8, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 6, 2026
WMT StochRSI turned up from oversoldWMT StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $110.65.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$110.65。
Jul 1, 2026
TOPPING → DOWNTREND做顶中 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 1, 2026
WMT printed a daily-cycle lowWMT 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $108.82.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$108.82。
Jul 1, 2026
WMT RSI reached oversoldWMT RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $108.82.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$108.82。
Jun 29, 2026
WMT broke down vs the marketWMT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $114.60.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$114.60。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.11
Value价值
-0.6
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
-0.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
+0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6
Company Profile公司档案
Walmart Inc. is an American multinational omnichannel retail corporation that operates a chain of hypermarkets, discount department stores, grocery stores, pharmacies, and gas stations in the United States and 19 other countries.沃尔玛公司是一家美国跨国全渠道零售企业，在美国及其他19个国家运营连锁超市、折扣百货店、食品杂货店、药店和加油站。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。