COST Costco · $940.87 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

Costco · Staples

COST

$940.87

Costco Wholesale Corporation is an American multinational corporation that operates a chain of membership-only big-box warehouse club retail stores.好市多批发公司（CostcoWholesaleCorporation）是一家美国跨国公司，经营连锁会员制大型仓储式零售卖场。

Mixed profile混合特征 Mega cap超大盘 $418B

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势

Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 912.97.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 912.97 下方。

Engine levels · 52-week range引擎点位 · 52周区间

$941

$942

$941

$950

$900

$834$1,104

Price现价 $941Trail stop止损线 $942Don't chase勿追高 $941Call wall看涨期权墙 $950Put wall看跌期权墙 $900

Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Price Chart价格图表

Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表 ↗

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$940.87

14.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 14.0%

Market Cap市值

$418B

Normal volume正常成交量

P/E Ratio市盈率

51.6x

24.1x sector median

Forward P/E预测市盈率

41.5x

EPS每股收益 $18.24

Beta贝塔

-0.12

Moves about -0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.1 倍

Dividend Yield股息收益率

0.62%

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Neutral zone中性区域

Volatility Rank波动率分位

95th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Short Interest空头兴趣

1.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期	COST	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	+2.7%	-1.5%	Beat the index by 4.2 points跑赢指数 4.2 个百分点
1 Month近1月	-2.6%	+0.6%	Lagged the index by 3.2 points落后指数 3.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月	-5.8%	+4.7%	Lagged the index by 10.5 points落后指数 10.5 个百分点
6 Months近6月	-2.1%	+7.8%	Lagged the index by 9.9 points落后指数 9.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今	+10.4%	+9.1%	Beat the index by 1.3 points跑赢指数 1.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年	-0.8%	+19.4%	Lagged the index by 20.2 points落后指数 20.2 个百分点
3 Years近3年	+76.9%	+69.4%	Beat the index by 7.5 points跑赢指数 7.5 个百分点
5 Years近5年	+142.0%	+83.9%	Beat the index by 58.1 points跑赢指数 58.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号

MA Sell (21)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)

RSI (14)RSI（14） 47 Neutral zone中性区域

vs 50-day相对50日均线 -3.7% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 -1.5% vs 200-day avg

Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX） 14 No clear trend无明显趋势

Volatility rank波动率分位 95th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Buy zone买入区间

$933.10

Don't chase above不追高于

$940.90

Stop止损

$913.00

Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标	COST	Sector median行业中位	Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史）	51.57x	24.10	12%
P/E (forward)市盈率（预测）	41.5x	—	—
P/B市净率	13.78x	3.38	5%
P/S市销率	1.52x	1.28	44%
Earnings yield盈利收益率	1.94%	3.76	22%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率	1.88%	4.71	14%
Shareholder yield股东收益率	0.74%	2.48	35%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA	31.95x	12.39	6%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流	53.29x	21.12	10%

Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入

$166.8B

2020

$195.9B

2021

$227.0B

2022

$242.3B

2023

$254.5B

2024

$275.2B

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.5%

Earnings Per Share每股收益

$9.02

2020

$11.27

2021

$13.14

2022

$14.16

2023

$16.56

2024

$18.21

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.1%

Free Cash Flow自由现金流

$6.1B

2020

$5.4B

2021

$3.5B

2022

$6.7B

2023

$6.6B

2024

$7.8B

2025

Margins利润率

Operating margin营业利润率

3.8%

Net margin净利率

2.9%

FCF margin自由现金流利润率

4.8%

26.7%Return on Equity股本回报率

9.8%Return on Assets资产回报率

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA	-0.65
Current ratio流动比率	1.03

Capital Allocation资本配置

Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）	$903.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬	$860.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）	-0.0%

Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (9.7) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业

Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵

Cheaper than 16% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 16% 的公司

Beta市场敏感度

-0.12×

0.21×3×

Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动

Financial Health财务健康

6/9

Altman阿尔特曼: safe

Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般

Dividend分红

0.62%

Pays a dividend (0.62% yield)有分红（收益率 0.62%）

Why Is It Moving为何波动

News新闻 1 recent stories — mixed1 篇最新报道，多空参半

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。

Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易

Technical技术面 COST daily MACD crossed upCOST 日线MACD上穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动

±1.43%

Expected weekly move预期周波动

±3.20%

Call wall看涨密集区

$950

Put wall看跌密集区

$900

Gamma flip伽玛翻转

$942

25d risk reversal25d风险逆转

0.4%

Flow资金流向

$58M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 130 fresh positions; P/C 1.09; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $58M；0DTE占0%；130个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.09；≈偏看涨（方向近似）

Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$16.1M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$16.1M 净值（0 买家，8 卖家）

Fund基金	Grade评级	Activity动作	% of portfolio组合占比	As of截至
Giverny Capital	C	exitexit	0.0%	2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向

HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; investor cycle failed (broke its start low)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. The daily cycle has also failed (broke its own start low), which tilts the odds toward failure here高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负；投资者周期失败（跌破起始低点））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。日线周期同样已经失败（跌破其自身起始低点），此处概率更偏向失败

COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN

Jul 16, 2026

COST daily MACD crossed upCOST 日线MACD上穿

The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $945.57.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$945.57。

Jul 9, 2026

UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势

AVOID回避

Jul 9, 2026

COST broke down vs the marketCOST 相对市场走弱

Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $912.97.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$912.97。

Jul 9, 2026

COST daily MACD crossed downCOST 日线MACD下穿

The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $912.97.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$912.97。

Jul 7, 2026

COST daily MACD crossed upCOST 日线MACD上穿

The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $947.50.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$947.50。

Jul 6, 2026

NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向

HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

Jul 2, 2026

DOWNTREND → NEARING A HIGH下跌趋势 → 接近高点

TAKE PROFITS止盈

Jul 2, 2026

COST StochRSI turned up from oversoldCOST StochRSI自超卖区上行

StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $951.67.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$951.67。

Jun 30, 2026

NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势

AVOID回避

Jun 29, 2026

COST broke down vs the marketCOST 相对市场走弱

Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $946.68.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$946.68。

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