Philip Morris International · Staples
PM
$192.98
Philip Morris International Inc. (PMI) is a tobacco company, with products sold in over 180 countries.菲利普莫里斯国际公司（PMI）是一家烟草企业，产品销往全球超过180个国家。
Mixed profile混合特征
Mega cap超大盘
$300B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 171.75.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 171.75 则明确离场。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$192.98
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$300B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
26.5x
24.1x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
21.1x
EPS每股收益 $7.29
Beta贝塔
-0.15
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
3.05%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
63
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-28 (9d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
79th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | PM | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +6.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 7.8 points跑赢指数 7.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +8.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 7.8 points跑赢指数 7.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +23.3% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 18.6 points跑赢指数 18.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +13.1% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 5.3 points跑赢指数 5.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +22.5% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 13.4 points跑赢指数 13.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +11.6% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 7.8 points落后指数 7.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +123.1% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 53.7 points跑赢指数 53.7 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +146.5% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 62.6 points跑赢指数 62.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Short-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
63
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+6.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+16.5% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
14
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
79th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$190.30
Don't chase above不追高于
$195.10
Stop止损
$171.80
Buy zone — entry open now买入区 — 入场窗口已开启
Earnings财务业绩
9
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-28
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | PM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 26.47x | 24.10 | 44% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 21.1x | — | — |
| P/S市销率 | 7.39x | 1.28 | 2% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.78% | 3.76 | 52% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.55% | 4.71 | 29% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 17.50x | 12.39 | 23% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 28.17x | 21.12 | 25% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-113.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
16.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.29 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.96 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.3)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 24% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 24% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.15×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
6/7
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
3.05%
Pays a dividend (3.05% yield)有分红（收益率 3.05%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
PM took relative-strength leadershipPM 取得相对强弱领先
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.28%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.09%
Call wall看涨密集区
$200
Put wall看跌密集区
$175
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$178
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.2%
Flow资金流向
$3M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 21 fresh positions; P/C 0.9; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $3M；0DTE占0%；21个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.9；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$28.8M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$28.8M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) | C | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Lone Pine Capital | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 17, 2026
PM took relative-strength leadershipPM 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $192.98.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$192.98。
Jul 17, 2026
PM made a new 52-week highPM 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $192.98.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$192.98。
Jul 16, 2026
PM daily MACD crossed upPM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $189.84.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$189.84。
Jul 16, 2026
PM StochRSI turned up from oversoldPM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $189.84.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$189.84。
Jul 13, 2026
PM daily MACD crossed downPM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $180.19.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$180.19。
Jul 9, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 2, 2026
PM daily MACD crossed upPM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $182.27.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$182.27。
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
PM daily MACD crossed downPM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $177.69.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$177.69。
Jun 29, 2026
PM daily MACD crossed upPM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $182.87.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$182.87。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 1639 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.22
Value价值
-1.0
Profitability盈利能力
+0.5
Quality质量
-1.0
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.8
Company Profile公司档案
Philip Morris International Inc. (PMI) is a tobacco company, with products sold in over 180 countries.菲利普莫里斯国际公司（PMI）是一家烟草企业，产品销往全球超过180个国家。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。