Altria · Staples
MO
$74.21
Altria Group, Inc. is an American corporation and one of the world's largest producers and marketers of tobacco, cigarettes, and medical products in the treatment of illnesses caused by tobacco.奥驰亚集团公司是一家美国企业，全球最大的烟草、香烟及治疗烟草相关疾病医疗产品的生产商和销售商之一。
Dividend / defensive高股息防御
Large cap大盘
$124B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 68.95 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mi日线转向已经完成——低点于约 20 天前形成 @ 68.95，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$74.21
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$124B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
17.9x
24.1x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
12.6x
EPS每股收益 $4.15
Beta贝塔
-0.40
Moves about -0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.4 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
5.71%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
72th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MO | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.4% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 4.9 points跑赢指数 4.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +7.6% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 7.0 points跑赢指数 7.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +17.4% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 12.7 points跑赢指数 12.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +24.0% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 16.2 points跑赢指数 16.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +33.6% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 24.5 points跑赢指数 24.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +36.7% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 17.3 points跑赢指数 17.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +105.5% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 36.1 points跑赢指数 36.1 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +130.9% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 47.0 points跑赢指数 47.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Short-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+4.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+16.9% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
13
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
72th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$73.48
Don't chase above不追高于
$74.79
Stop止损
$68.95
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being raised — 11 analysts预期上调 — 11 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 17.89x | 24.10 | 71% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 12.6x | — | — |
| P/S市销率 | 5.34x | 1.28 | 7% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.59% | 3.76 | 76% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.30% | 4.71 | 73% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 6.41% | 2.48 | 79% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 14.31x | 12.39 | 38% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 13.69x | 21.12 | 70% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -2.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-198.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
19.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.09 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.65 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.0B |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.8)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 47% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 47% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.40×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
5.71%
Pays a dividend (5.71% yield)有分红（收益率 5.71%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
MO took relative-strength leadershipMO 取得相对强弱领先
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.95%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.35%
Call wall看涨密集区
$75
Put wall看跌密集区
$68
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$67
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.4%
Flow资金流向
$2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 17 fresh positions; P/C 0.56; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占0%；17个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.56；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.9M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$1.9M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
MO took relative-strength leadershipMO 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $74.21.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$74.21。
Jul 17, 2026
MO made a new 52-week highMO 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $74.21.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$74.21。
Jul 17, 2026
MO daily MACD crossed upMO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $74.21.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$74.21。
Jul 16, 2026
MO StochRSI turned up from oversoldMO StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $73.03.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$73.03。
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 9, 2026
MO daily MACD crossed downMO 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $71.59.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$71.59。
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 6, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 5115 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.01
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
+0.6
Quality质量
-1.9
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.6
Low volatility低波动
+1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.3
Company Profile公司档案
Altria Group, Inc. is an American corporation and one of the world's largest producers and marketers of tobacco, cigarettes, and medical products in the treatment of illnesses caused by tobacco.奥驰亚集团公司是一家美国企业，全球最大的烟草、香烟及治疗烟草相关疾病医疗产品的生产商和销售商之一。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。