PepsiCo · Staples
PEP
$137.12
PepsiCo, Inc. is an American multinational food and beverage corporation headquartered in Harrison, New York, in the hamlet of Purchase.百事公司（PepsiCo,Inc.）是一家美国跨国食品饮料集团，总部位于纽约州哈里森镇的珀彻斯社区。
Mixed profile混合特征
Large cap大盘
$187B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~11+ trading days. Wait for support t这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 11+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳，或等下一个低点构筑成形。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$137.12
18.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.0%
Market Cap市值
$187B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
22.7x
24.1x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
15.3x
EPS每股收益 $6.03
Beta贝塔
-0.24
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
4.32%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-09 (-10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
92th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | PEP | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.2% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.3 points跑赢指数 1.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -3.2% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 3.8 points落后指数 3.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -12.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 16.8 points落后指数 16.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -4.5% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 12.3 points落后指数 12.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -1.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 10.8 points落后指数 10.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -2.0% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 21.4 points落后指数 21.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -17.5% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 86.9 points落后指数 86.9 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +3.1% | +83.9% | Lagged the index by 80.8 points落后指数 80.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)Short-term Falling Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-4.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-7.1% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
18
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
92th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$133.35
Don't chase above不追高于
$137.10
Stop止损
$135.40
Wait for the pullback等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -11.1% (20d)财报后漂移：-11.1%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | PEP | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 22.74x | 24.10 | 52% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 15.3x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 9.18x | 3.38 | 15% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.00x | 1.28 | 35% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.40% | 3.76 | 59% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.09% | 4.71 | 37% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.53% | 2.48 | 27% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.21x | 12.39 | 35% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 24.43x | 21.12 | 33% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
40.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.68 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.85 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.0B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $288.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.4)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 35% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 35% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.24×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
4.32%
Pays a dividend (4.32% yield)有分红（收益率 4.32%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
PEP daily MACD crossed downPEP 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.55%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.47%
Call wall看涨密集区
$145
Put wall看跌密集区
$135
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$135
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.6%
Flow资金流向
$24M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 26 fresh positions; P/C 1.69; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $24M；0DTE占0%；26个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.69；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$5.8M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$5.8M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Investment Management | C | Holding持有 | 1.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 10, 2026
PEP daily MACD crossed downPEP 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $137.38.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$137.38。
Jul 9, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 9, 2026
PEP broke down vs the marketPEP 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $137.86.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$137.86。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
PEP daily MACD crossed upPEP 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $144.22.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$144.22。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UPTREND下跌趋势 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A HIGH下跌趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
PEP StochRSI turned up from oversoldPEP StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $141.16.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$141.16。
Jun 30, 2026
PEP printed a daily-cycle lowPEP 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $135.40.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$135.40。
Jun 29, 2026
Death cross on PEPPEP 死叉
The 50-day average crossed below the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bearish trend signal. $138.68.50日均线下穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看空趋势信号。$138.68。
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 29, 2026
PEP broke down vs the marketPEP 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $138.68.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$138.68。
Jun 29, 2026
PEP daily MACD crossed downPEP 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $138.68.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$138.68。
Jun 26, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.03
Value价值
-0.6
Profitability盈利能力
+0.9
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
+1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6
Company Profile公司档案
PepsiCo, Inc. is an American multinational food and beverage corporation headquartered in Harrison, New York, in the hamlet of Purchase.百事公司（PepsiCo,Inc.）是一家美国跨国食品饮料集团，总部位于纽约州哈里森镇的珀彻斯社区。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。