United Airlines Holdings · Industrials
UAL
$115.41
United Airlines, Inc. is a major airline in the United States headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.美国联合航空公司是美国一家主要航空公司，总部位于伊利诺伊州芝加哥。
Distressed困境股
Large cap大盘
$37B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$115.41
15.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 15.2%
Market Cap市值
$37B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
11.1x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.18
Moves about 2.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
41
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-15 (-4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
27th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | UAL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -8.4% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 6.9 points落后指数 6.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -0.4% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +13.4% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 8.7 points跑赢指数 8.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +1.7% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 6.1 points落后指数 6.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +2.1% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 7.0 points落后指数 7.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +26.5% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 7.1 points跑赢指数 7.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
41
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+1.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+10.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
27th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$114.00
Don't chase above不追高于
$116.50
Stop止损
$112.60
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 11 analysts预期上调 — 11 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | UAL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 11.13x | 29.89 | 93% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.44x | 3.90 | 74% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.63x | 2.21 | 88% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 8.98% | 3.10 | 94% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.85% | 3.81 | 80% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.71% | 2.29 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 6.88x | 16.39 | 95% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 14.60x | 25.50 | 78% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 30.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
21.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.00 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.65 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $637.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $148.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.4)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 86% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 86% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.18×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +37.8%空头仓位变动 +37.8%
Technical技术面
UAL daily MACD crossed downUAL 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.04%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.79%
Call wall看涨密集区
$125
Put wall看跌密集区
$110
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$112
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.0%
Flow资金流向
$12M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 84 fresh positions; P/C 0.76; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $12M；0DTE占0%；84个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.76；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$15.0M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$15.0M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) | C | trimtrim | 0.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 7, 2026
UAL daily MACD crossed downUAL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $128.31.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$128.31。
Jun 30, 2026
UAL made a new 52-week highUAL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $135.99.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$135.99。
Jun 24, 2026
Golden cross on UALUAL 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $130.54.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$130.54。
Jun 24, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 24, 2026
UAL RSI reached overboughtUAL RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $130.54.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$130.54。
Jun 23, 2026
UAL took relative-strength leadershipUAL 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $121.55.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$121.55。
Jun 23, 2026
UAL made a new 52-week highUAL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $121.55.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$121.55。
Jun 18, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 15, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 15, 2026
UAL made a new 52-week highUAL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $119.97.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$119.97。
Jun 12, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 12, 2026
UAL daily MACD crossed upUAL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $115.52.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$115.52。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 95 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.07
Value价值
+0.8
Quality质量
+0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
-0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1
Company Profile公司档案
United Airlines, Inc. is a major airline in the United States headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.美国联合航空公司是美国一家主要航空公司，总部位于伊利诺伊州芝加哥。
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。