Xylem Inc. · Industrials
XYL
$122.78
Xylem Inc. is a large American water technology provider, in public utility, industrial, commercial, agricultural and residential settings.赛莱默公司（XylemInc.）是一家大型美国水技术供应商，服务于公共事业、工业、商业、农业及住宅领域。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$30B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$122.78
18.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.9%
Market Cap市值
$30B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
31.2x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.84
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
64
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
61th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | XYL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.8 points跑赢指数 2.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +11.3% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 10.7 points跑赢指数 10.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +1.8% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 2.9 points落后指数 2.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -15.4% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 23.2 points落后指数 23.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -9.8% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 18.9 points落后指数 18.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -6.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 25.5 points落后指数 25.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
64
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+8.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-4.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
61th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$119.55
Don't chase above不追高于
$122.80
Stop止损
$109.00
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -9.8% (20d)财报后漂移：-9.8%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | XYL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 31.25x | 29.89 | 47% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.61x | 3.90 | 72% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.31x | 2.21 | 35% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.20% | 3.10 | 52% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.04% | 3.81 | 36% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.36% | 2.29 | 29% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 16.59x | 16.39 | 48% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 32.87x | 25.50 | 30% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 22.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
8.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.04 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.62 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $15.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $53.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.2)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 48% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 48% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.84×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
XYL RSI reached overboughtXYL RSI进入超买
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.93%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.32%
Call wall看涨密集区
$130
Put wall看跌密集区
$110
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$110
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-5.0%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.8M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$1.8M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
XYL RSI reached overboughtXYL RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $125.30.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$125.30。
Jul 14, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 94 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.06
Value价值
-0.3
Profitability盈利能力
-0.7
Quality质量
+0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
+0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.4
Company Profile公司档案
Xylem Inc. is a large American water technology provider, in public utility, industrial, commercial, agricultural and residential settings.赛莱默公司（XylemInc.）是一家大型美国水技术供应商，服务于公共事业、工业、商业、农业及住宅领域。
Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) decelerating (+111% YoY to ~$2B, 0.2× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）增速放缓（同比+111%，约 $2B，覆盖营收 0.2 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
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