Emcor · Industrials
EME
$744.16
EMCOR Group, Inc., is an engineering, construction, and property management company headquartered in Norwalk, Connecticut.埃姆科集团是一家工程、建筑和物业管理公司，总部位于康涅狄格州诺沃克。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$33B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$744.16
21.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 21.1%
Market Cap市值
$33B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
26.0x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.78
Moves about 1.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
36
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
84th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | EME | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.8% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 3.3 points落后指数 3.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -10.0% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 10.6 points落后指数 10.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -7.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 12.4 points落后指数 12.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +6.6% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 1.2 points落后指数 1.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +16.6% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 7.5 points跑赢指数 7.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +33.3% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 13.9 points跑赢指数 13.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
36
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-10.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+0.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
84th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$744.20
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being raised — 6 analysts预期上调 — 6 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -9.6% (20d)财报后漂移：-9.6%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | EME | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 26.03x | 29.89 | 60% |
| P/B市净率 | 9.02x | 3.90 | 20% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.95x | 2.21 | 56% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.84% | 3.10 | 64% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.59% | 3.81 | 46% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.91% | 2.29 | 43% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 17.98x | 16.39 | 41% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 27.86x | 25.50 | 41% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 63.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
34.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
13.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.62 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.22 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $586.3M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.0)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 45% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 45% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.78×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.44%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.70%
Call wall看涨密集区
$780
Put wall看跌密集区
$710
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-6.7%
Flow资金流向
$2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 9 fresh positions; P/C 6.29; ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占0%；9个新建仓；看跌看涨比 6.29；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$29.6M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$29.6M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | trimtrim | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 9, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 6, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
TOPPING → DOWNTREND做顶中 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 2, 2026
EME broke down vs the marketEME 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $774.26.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$774.26。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 29, 2026
EME daily MACD crossed downEME 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $813.99.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$813.99。
Jun 26, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 90 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.37
Value价值
-0.6
Profitability盈利能力
+0.2
Quality质量
-0.5
Investment资本投入
-0.7
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.9
Company Profile公司档案
EMCOR Group, Inc., is an engineering, construction, and property management company headquartered in Norwalk, Connecticut.埃姆科集团是一家工程、建筑和物业管理公司，总部位于康涅狄格州诺沃克。
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for power & grid buildout云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——电力与电网建设的需求来源
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。