Axon Enterprise · Industrials
AXON
$510.28
Axon Enterprise, Inc. is an American company based in Scottsdale, Arizona, that develops weapons and technology products for military, law enforcement, and civilians.AxonEnterprise,Inc.是一家总部位于亚利桑那州斯科茨代尔的美国公司，为军队、执法部门和民用领域开发武器和科技产品。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$41B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$510.28
41.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 41.4%
Market Cap市值
$41B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
328.4x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.28
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-03 (15d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
94th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AXON | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -9.8% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 8.3 points落后指数 8.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +20.6% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 20.0 points跑赢指数 20.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +26.7% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 22.0 points跑赢指数 22.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -19.8% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 27.6 points落后指数 27.6 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -9.4% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 18.5 points落后指数 18.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -31.6% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 51.0 points落后指数 51.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+9.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-2.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
94th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$479.85
Don't chase above不追高于
$510.30
Stop止损
$410.00
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
15
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-03
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: +17.0% (20d)财报后漂移：+17.0%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AXON | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 328.35x | 29.89 | 1% |
| P/B市净率 | 12.62x | 3.90 | 13% |
| P/S市销率 | 14.73x | 2.21 | 0% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.30% | 3.10 | 10% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 0.18% | 3.81 | 9% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 1970.12x | 16.39 | 0% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 545.15x | 25.50 | 1% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 32.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
3.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 28.91 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.53 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $634.2M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +4.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 5% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 5% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.28×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
AXON lost its 200-day averageAXON 跌破200日均线
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±5.31%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±11.87%
Call wall看涨密集区
$525
Put wall看跌密集区
$480
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$499
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
3.4%
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$76.6M net (0 buyers, 10 sellers)-$76.6M 净值（0 买家，10 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altimeter Capital | A | New position新建仓 | 1.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Coatue Management | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
AXON lost its 200-day averageAXON 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $510.28.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$510.28。
Jul 14, 2026
AXON daily MACD crossed downAXON 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $547.26.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$547.26。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
AXON took relative-strength leadershipAXON 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $593.96.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$593.96。
Jun 30, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
AXON reclaimed its 200-day averageAXON 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $560.61.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$560.61。
Jun 30, 2026
AXON RSI reached overboughtAXON RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $560.61.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$560.61。
Jun 29, 2026
AXON daily MACD crossed upAXON 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $510.60.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$510.60。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 92 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -1.19
Value价值
-1.1
Profitability盈利能力
-0.4
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
-2.9
Low volatility低波动
-1.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3
Company Profile公司档案
Axon Enterprise, Inc. is an American company based in Scottsdale, Arizona, that develops weapons and technology products for military, law enforcement, and civilians.AxonEnterprise,Inc.是一家总部位于亚利桑那州斯科茨代尔的美国公司，为军队、执法部门和民用领域开发武器和科技产品。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。