Thor Industries · Consumer Disc.
THO
$76.27
Thor Industries, Inc. is an American manufacturer of recreational vehicles (RVs).ThorIndustries,Inc.是一家美国休闲车（RV）制造商。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 71.42 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mi日线转向已经完成——低点于约 20 天前形成 @ 71.42，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$76.27
36.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 36.2%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
15.6x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.06
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
40th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
9.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | THO | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 6.2 points跑赢指数 6.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +6.8% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 6.2 points跑赢指数 6.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -5.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 10.0 points落后指数 10.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -33.1% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 40.9 points落后指数 40.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -26.8% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 35.9 points落后指数 35.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -13.6% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 33.0 points落后指数 33.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -27.1% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 96.5 points落后指数 96.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-17.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
40th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$75.25
Don't chase above不追高于
$77.08
Stop止损
$71.42
Partial entry — half size now部分入场 — 当前可建半仓
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | THO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 15.59x | 20.23 | 65% |
| P/B市净率 | 0.93x | 2.97 | 91% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.42x | 1.23 | 83% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 6.42% | 4.53 | 69% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 11.32% | 5.69 | 86% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.31% | 4.31 | 16% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 8.83x | 16.53 | 85% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
6.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.75 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $52.6M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $30.9M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.3)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 81% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 81% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.06×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +16.6%空头仓位变动 +16.6%
Technical技术面
THO daily MACD crossed upTHO 日线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.5M net (1 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.5M 净值（1 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
THO daily MACD crossed upTHO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $77.43.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$77.43。
Jul 15, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 15, 2026
THO StochRSI turned up from oversoldTHO StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $74.96.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$74.96。
Jul 10, 2026
TOPPING → UNCONFIRMED TURN做顶中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 8, 2026
THO broke down vs the marketTHO 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $72.32.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$72.32。
Jul 8, 2026
THO daily MACD crossed downTHO 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $72.32.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$72.32。
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 3, 2026
THO weekly MACD crossed upTHO 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 1, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 260 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.20
Value价值
+1.9
Profitability盈利能力
-0.7
Quality质量
+0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
+0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.1
Company Profile公司档案
Thor Industries, Inc. is an American manufacturer of recreational vehicles (RVs).ThorIndustries,Inc.是一家美国休闲车（RV）制造商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。