Group 1 Automotive, Inc. · Consumer Disc.
GPI
$326.06
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. is an international Fortune 300 automotive retailer with automotive dealerships and collision centers in the United States and the United Kingdom.第一汽车集团（Group1Automotive,Inc.）是一家国际《财富》300强汽车零售商，在美国和英国拥有汽车经销店和碰撞维修中心。
Deep value深度价值
Mid cap中盘
$4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed @ 286.6 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the we日线转向已经完成——低点于近期形成 @ 286.6，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$326.06
32.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 32.9%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
12.0x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.73
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-23 (4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
79th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | GPI | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +8.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 10.2 points跑赢指数 10.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +6.9% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 6.3 points跑赢指数 6.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -6.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 11.4 points落后指数 11.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -17.2% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 25.0 points落后指数 25.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -16.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 25.8 points落后指数 25.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -19.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 38.6 points落后指数 38.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +25.2% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 44.2 points落后指数 44.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+3.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-9.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
79th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$321.15
Don't chase above不追高于
$330.00
Stop止损
$286.60
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
4
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-23
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | GPI | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 11.96x | 20.23 | 79% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.39x | 2.97 | 81% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.17x | 1.23 | 96% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 8.36% | 4.53 | 82% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 10.92% | 5.69 | 84% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 14.93% | 4.31 | 97% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 9.16x | 16.53 | 83% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
11.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.08 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $554.8M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $29.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -10.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.4)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 85% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 85% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.73×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
GPI weekly MACD crossed upGPI 周线MACD上穿
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
GPI weekly MACD crossed upGPI 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 15, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BUY ZONE未确认转向 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 10, 2026
GPI daily MACD crossed upGPI 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $299.88.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$299.88。
Jul 9, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
GPI StochRSI turned up from oversoldGPI StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $296.47.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$296.47。
Jul 3, 2026
GPI weekly MACD crossed downGPI 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 1, 2026
GPI printed a daily-cycle lowGPI 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $286.60.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$286.60。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 1.04
Value价值
+2.9
Profitability盈利能力
+0.2
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
+2.8
Low volatility低波动
+0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.1
Company Profile公司档案
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. is an international Fortune 300 automotive retailer with automotive dealerships and collision centers in the United States and the United Kingdom.第一汽车集团（Group1Automotive,Inc.）是一家国际《财富》300强汽车零售商，在美国和英国拥有汽车经销店和碰撞维修中心。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
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