HGV Hilton Grand Vacations · $49.94 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Hilton Grand Vacations · Consumer Disc.

HGV

$49.94
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a multi-national company that is based in Orlando, Florida, United States.HiltonGrandVacationsInc.是一家跨国公司，总部位于美国佛罗里达州奥兰多。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crosse筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$49.94
8.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.7%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
51.3x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.36
Moves about 1.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
47
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
47th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.3% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 HGV S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -1.0% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 -4.1% +0.6% Lagged the index by 4.7 points落后指数 4.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +1.9% +4.7% Lagged the index by 2.8 points落后指数 2.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +6.9% +7.8% In line with the index与指数基本持平
Year to date年初至今 +9.8% +9.1% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Year近1年 +8.2% +19.4% Lagged the index by 11.2 points落后指数 11.2 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +4.9% +69.4% Lagged the index by 64.5 points落后指数 64.5 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 47 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -0.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +9.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 47th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$48.41
Don't chase above不追高于
$49.94
Stop止损
$49.09
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 HGV Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 51.26x 20.23
7%
P/B市净率 3.22x 2.97
46%
P/S市销率 0.82x 1.23
61%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 1.95% 4.53
18%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 5.54% 5.69
48%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 14.45% 4.31
97%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 18.05x 16.53
44%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$894.0M
2020
$2.3B
2021
$3.8B
2022
$4.0B
2023
$5.0B
2024
$5.0B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 41.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-2.36
2020
$1.75
2021
$2.93
2022
$2.80
2023
$0.45
2024
$0.89
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$71.0M
2020
$150.0M
2021
$689.0M
2022
$281.0M
2023
$267.0M
2024
$230.0M
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
1.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
5.9%
6.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$600.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$64.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-14.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 40% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 40% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.36×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/7
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 HGV StochRSI turned up from oversoldHGV StochRSI自超卖区上行

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.4M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$1.4M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-07-08 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-07-08 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
HGV StochRSI turned up from oversoldHGV StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $51.41.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$51.41。
Jul 2, 2026
HGV took relative-strength leadershipHGV 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $52.91.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$52.91。
Jul 1, 2026
HGV daily MACD crossed downHGV 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $51.48.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$51.48。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
HGV made a new 52-week highHGV 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $54.69.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$54.69。
Jun 24, 2026
HGV made a new 52-week highHGV 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $54.67.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$54.67。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 259 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.50
Value价值
-0.1
Quality质量
-0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
+2.7
Low volatility低波动
-0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1

Company Profile公司档案

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a multi-national company that is based in Orlando, Florida, United States.HiltonGrandVacationsInc.是一家跨国公司，总部位于美国佛罗里达州奥兰多。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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