Synopsys · Tech
SNPS
$384.28
Synopsys, Inc. is an American multinational electronic design automation (EDA) company headquartered in Sunnyvale, California, that focuses on design and verification of silicon chips, electronic system-level design and verification, and reusable components.Synopsys,Inc.是一家美国跨国电子设计自动化(EDA)公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州桑尼韦尔,专注于硅芯片的设计与验证、电子系统级设计与验证以及可重用组件。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$74B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–2 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–2 个交易日内出现——等待转向,切勿抢跑。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$384.28
40.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 40.5%
Market Cap市值
$74B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
55.2x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.63
Moves about 1.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
24
Oversold超卖区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
41th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | SNPS | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -13.7% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 12.2 points落后指数 12.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -16.8% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 17.4 points落后指数 17.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -14.5% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 19.2 points落后指数 19.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -25.6% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 33.4 points落后指数 33.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -20.0% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 29.1 points落后指数 29.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -34.8% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 54.2 points落后指数 54.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
24
Oversold超卖区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-18.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-15.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
41th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$372.95
Don't chase above不追高于
$384.30
Stop止损
$384.30
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 17 analysts预期上调 — 17 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | SNPS | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 55.22x | 40.17 | 37% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.41x | 5.85 | 79% |
| P/S市销率 | 10.43x | 4.85 | 20% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.81% | 2.19 | 46% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.83% | 3.05 | 32% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.00% | 2.16 | 3% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 53.43x | 29.30 | 27% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 54.53x | 30.46 | 25% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
4.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 6.73 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.62 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $893.3M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | +23.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.8)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 39% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 39% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.63×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
SNPS RSI reached oversoldSNPS RSI进入超卖
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.36%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.50%
Call wall看涨密集区
$422
Put wall看跌密集区
$370
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.0%
Skew: 偏斜:fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.9M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$1.9M 净值(0 买家,2 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 1.8% | 2026-03-31 |
| Coatue Management | A | trimtrim | 1.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| D1 Capital Partners | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 17, 2026
SNPS RSI reached oversoldSNPS RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $384.28.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$384.28。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 9, 2026
SNPS StochRSI turned up from oversoldSNPS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $443.37.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$443.37。
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 3, 2026
SNPS weekly MACD crossed downSNPS 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 2, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 2, 2026
SNPS broke down vs the marketSNPS 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $437.16.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$437.16。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 101 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -1.18
Value价值
-0.5
Profitability盈利能力
-1.1
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
-3.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-1.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.9
Company Profile公司档案
Synopsys, Inc. is an American multinational electronic design automation (EDA) company headquartered in Sunnyvale, California, that focuses on design and verification of silicon chips, electronic system-level design and verification, and reusable components.Synopsys,Inc.是一家美国跨国电子设计自动化(EDA)公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州桑尼韦尔,专注于硅芯片的设计与验证、电子系统级设计与验证以及可重用组件。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Receivables stretch
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。