CDNS Cadence Design Systems · $330.11 Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利 Terminal终端 ↗

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Cadence Design Systems · Tech

CDNS

$330.11
Cadence Design Systems, Inc. is an American multinational technology and computational software company headquartered in San Jose, California.铿腾电子系统公司是一家美国跨国技术和计算软件公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州圣何塞。
Mixed profile混合特征 Large cap大盘 $90B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$330.11
20.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 20.7%
Market Cap市值
$90B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
80.9x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.60
Moves about 1.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
29
Oversold超卖区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-27 (8d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
65th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.2% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 CDNS S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -14.1% -1.5% Lagged the index by 12.6 points落后指数 12.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -15.3% +0.6% Lagged the index by 15.9 points落后指数 15.9 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +6.1% +4.7% Beat the index by 1.4 points跑赢指数 1.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +4.0% +7.8% Lagged the index by 3.8 points落后指数 3.8 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +6.3% +9.1% Lagged the index by 2.8 points落后指数 2.8 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +2.9% +19.4% Lagged the index by 16.5 points落后指数 16.5 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 29 Oversold超卖区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -11.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +0.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 65th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$330.10
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期

Earnings财务业绩

8
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-27

Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 CDNS Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 80.91x 40.17
24%
P/B市净率 16.39x 5.85
17%
P/S市销率 16.94x 4.85
9%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 1.24% 2.19
35%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 1.77% 3.05
31%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.03% 2.16
31%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 50.42x 29.30
31%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 56.54x 30.46
24%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.7B
2020
$3.0B
2021
$3.6B
2022
$4.1B
2023
$4.6B
2024
$5.3B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$2.11
2020
$2.50
2021
$3.09
2022
$3.82
2023
$3.85
2024
$4.06
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$810.1M
2020
$1.0B
2021
$1.1B
2022
$1.2B
2023
$1.1B
2024
$1.6B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
28.2%
Net margin净利率
20.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
32.6%
20.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
10.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.75
Current ratio流动比率2.86
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$925.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$455.2M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-0.7%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (13.8) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 22% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 22% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.60×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +22.7%空头仓位变动 +22.7%
Technical技术面 CDNS RSI reached oversoldCDNS RSI进入超卖

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.75%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±8.38%
Call wall看涨密集区
$350
Put wall看跌密集区
$320
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.6%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$29.9M net (1 buyers, 6 sellers)-$29.9M 净值（1 买家，6 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases). Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
DECLINE DOWNTREND
Jul 17, 2026
CDNS RSI reached oversoldCDNS RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $330.11.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$330.11。
Jul 14, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
CDNS StochRSI turned up from oversoldCDNS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $375.32.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$375.32。
Jun 25, 2026
CDNS printed a daily-cycle lowCDNS 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $368.23.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$368.23。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.38
Value价值
-1.1
Quality质量
+0.3
Investment资本投入
-0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0

Company Profile公司档案

Cadence Design Systems, Inc. is an American multinational technology and computational software company headquartered in San Jose, California.铿腾电子系统公司是一家美国跨国技术和计算软件公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州圣何塞。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
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