INTU Intuit · $291.09 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Intuit · Tech

INTU

$291.09
Intuit Inc. is an American multinational business software company that specializes in financial software.财捷公司是一家专注于财务软件的美国跨国商业软件公司。
Secular growth长期成长 Large cap大盘 $81B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$291.09
63.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 63.7%
Market Cap市值
$81B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
21.0x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.36
Moves about 0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
61th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.2% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 INTU S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +5.9% -1.5% Beat the index by 7.4 points跑赢指数 7.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +8.7% +0.6% Beat the index by 8.1 points跑赢指数 8.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -26.0% +4.7% Lagged the index by 30.7 points落后指数 30.7 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -46.5% +7.8% Lagged the index by 54.3 points落后指数 54.3 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -53.5% +9.1% Lagged the index by 62.6 points落后指数 62.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -61.2% +19.4% Lagged the index by 80.6 points落后指数 80.6 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 53 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -5.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -39.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 61th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$276.25
Don't chase above不追高于
$291.10
Stop止损
$253.90
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being raised — 31 analysts预期上调 — 31 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: -14.2% (20d)财报后漂移：-14.2%（20日）

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 INTU Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 21.00x 40.17
76%
P/B市净率 4.26x 5.85
58%
P/S市销率 4.31x 4.85
54%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.76% 2.19
80%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 7.54% 3.05
84%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.41% 2.16
68%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 16.55x 29.30
71%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 13.27x 30.46
82%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$7.7B
2020
$9.6B
2021
$12.7B
2022
$14.4B
2023
$16.3B
2024
$18.8B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 19.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$6.92
2020
$7.56
2021
$7.28
2022
$8.42
2023
$10.43
2024
$13.67
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$2.4B
2020
$3.2B
2021
$3.7B
2022
$4.8B
2023
$4.7B
2024
$6.1B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
26.1%
Net margin净利率
20.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
33.0%
20.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
11.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.61
Current ratio流动比率1.36
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$2.8B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$2.0B
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-0.4%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.6) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 69% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 69% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.36×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

News新闻 4 recent stories — mixed4 篇最新报道，多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题 AI Software & Platforms theme — #11 of 46 themes「AI 软件与平台」主题 — 46 个主题中第 11 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +18.4%空头仓位变动 +18.4%
Technical技术面 INTU weekly MACD crossed upINTU 周线MACD上穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.61%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±8.07%
Call wall看涨密集区
$310
Put wall看跌密集区
$260
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$287
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.0%
Flow资金流向

$72M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 53 fresh positions; P/C 0.74; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +10,832); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $72M；0DTE占0%；53个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.74；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +10,832）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）

Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$357.7M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$357.7M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Polen Capital Management B trimtrim 0.1% 2026-03-31
AKO Capital B exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~15 day(s) ago @ 253.95) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 15 天前形成 @ 253.95）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
INTU weekly MACD crossed upINTU 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
INTU broke down vs the marketINTU 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $270.94.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$270.94。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 29, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 26, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 26, 2026
INTU daily MACD crossed upINTU 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $266.54.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$266.54。
Jun 26, 2026
INTU StochRSI turned up from oversoldINTU StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $266.54.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$266.54。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 97 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.08
Value价值
-0.5
Quality质量
+0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
-0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6

Company Profile公司档案

Intuit Inc. is an American multinational business software company that specializes in financial software.财捷公司是一家专注于财务软件的美国跨国商业软件公司。
Demand chain:需求链： Headcount contracting (-3% YoY to ~18.2k) — the company's revealed hiring bet员工人数收缩（同比-3%，约 18.2k）——公司用招聘表达的需求押注

Recent News最新动态

ROSEN, SKILLED INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages First Solar, Inc. Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action – FSLR GlobeNewswire Inc. 2026-07-18
ROSEN, A LONGSTANDING FIRM, Encourages Photronics, Inc. Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action – PLAB GlobeNewswire Inc. 2026-07-18
ROSEN, SKILLED INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages Intuit Inc. Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action – INTU GlobeNewswire Inc. 2026-07-17
ROSEN, THE FIRST FILING FIRM, Encourages Zillow Group, Inc. Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action First Filed by the Firm - Z, ZG GlobeNewswire Inc. 2026-07-17
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