SHAK Shake Shack, Inc. · $58.00 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Shake Shack, Inc. · Consumer Disc.

SHAK

$58.00
Shake Shack is an American multinational fast casual restaurant chain based in New York City. It started out as a hot dog cart inside Madison Square Park in 2001, and its popularity steadily grew.ShakeShack是一家总部位于纽约市的美国跨国快餐连锁餐厅，2001年以麦迪逊广场公园内的热狗摊起家，人气稳步增长。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 54.15.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 54.15 则明确离场。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$58.00
58.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 58.8%
Beta贝塔
1.38
Moves about 1.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
62th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 SHAK S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -1.0% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 -1.3% +0.6% Lagged the index by 1.9 points落后指数 1.9 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -44.1% +4.7% Lagged the index by 48.8 points落后指数 48.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -41.5% +7.8% Lagged the index by 49.3 points落后指数 49.3 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -30.5% +9.1% Lagged the index by 39.6 points落后指数 39.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -57.0% +19.4% Lagged the index by 76.4 points落后指数 76.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -27.4% +69.4% Lagged the index by 96.8 points落后指数 96.8 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 48 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -3.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -30.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 62th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$56.91
Don't chase above不追高于
$58.88
Stop止损
$54.15
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$522.9M
2020
$739.9M
2021
$900.5M
2022
$1.1B
2023
$1.3B
2024
$1.4B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 22.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-1.14
2020
$-0.22
2021
$-0.61
2022
$0.48
2023
$0.24
2024
$1.09
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$31.7M
2020
-$43.1M
2021
-$65.8M
2022
-$14.0M
2023
$35.7M
2024
$56.5M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
4.3%
Net margin净利率
3.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
15.4%
9.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.66
Current ratio流动比率1.76
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
1.38×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/7
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -15.3%空头仓位变动 -15.3%
Technical技术面 BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.1M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.1M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Polen Capital Management B New position新建仓 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY. A new cycle low likely formed 17 day(s) ago (2026-06-23 @ 54.15): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — and the weekly timeframe agrees. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入。新的周期低点可能已在 17 天前形成 （2026-06-23 @ 54.15）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——且周线周期也一致确认。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
FRESH BUY BUY ZONE
Jul 15, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BUY ZONE未确认转向 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 6, 2026
SHAK broke down vs the marketSHAK 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $54.18.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$54.18。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 29, 2026
SHAK broke down vs the marketSHAK 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $54.79.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$54.79。
Jun 22, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 22, 2026
SHAK broke down vs the marketSHAK 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $55.71.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$55.71。
Jun 11, 2026
DOWNTREND → COUNTER-TREND BOUNCE下跌趋势 → 逆势反弹
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 236 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.19
Quality质量
+0.7
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
-1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.3

Company Profile公司档案

Shake Shack is an American multinational fast casual restaurant chain based in New York City. It started out as a hot dog cart inside Madison Square Park in 2001, and its popularity steadily grew.ShakeShack是一家总部位于纽约市的美国跨国快餐连锁餐厅，2001年以麦迪逊广场公园内的热狗摊起家，人气稳步增长。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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