Airbnb · Consumer Disc.
ABNB
$145.98
Airbnb, Inc. is an American company operating an online marketplace for short-and-long-term homestays, experiences and services in various countries and regions.爱彼迎公司是一家美国公司，运营一个提供各国和地区短租及长租民宿、体验和服务的在线平台。
Quality compounder优质复利股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$145.98
2.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.0%
Forward P/E预测市盈率
24.2x
Beta贝塔
1.16
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
65th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ABNB | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.8% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.9% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 3.3 points跑赢指数 3.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +3.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 1.6 points落后指数 1.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +11.7% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 3.9 points跑赢指数 3.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +9.8% | +9.1% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +4.8% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 14.6 points落后指数 14.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -0.4% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 69.8 points落后指数 69.8 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +8.7% | +83.9% | Lagged the index by 75.2 points落后指数 75.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud
RSI (14)RSI（14）
54
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+5.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+11.2% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
17
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
65th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$145.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$146.00
Stop止损
$130.90
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 19.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
30.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
11.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -1.78 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.38 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $3.8B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $1.6B |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Beta市场敏感度
1.16×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Travel & Experiences theme — #19 of 46 themes「旅行与体验」主题 — 46 个主题中第 19 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.74%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.14%
Call wall看涨密集区
$160
Put wall看跌密集区
$135
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$129
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.6%
Flow资金流向
$9M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 9 fresh positions; P/C 0.63; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $9M；0DTE占0%；9个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.63；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$273.6M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$273.6M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akre Capital Management | C | trimtrim | 4.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 2.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 14, 2026
ABNB daily MACD crossed downABNB 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $146.54.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$146.54。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
ABNB made a new 52-week highABNB 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $148.80.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$148.80。
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
ABNB took relative-strength leadershipABNB 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $148.93.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$148.93。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 468 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.76
Quality质量
+1.6
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2
Company Profile公司档案
Airbnb, Inc. is an American company operating an online marketplace for short-and-long-term homestays, experiences and services in various countries and regions.爱彼迎公司是一家美国公司，运营一个提供各国和地区短租及长租民宿、体验和服务的在线平台。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。