ADT Inc. · Consumer Disc.
ADT
$7.00
ADT Inc., formerly the ADT Corporation, is an American security company that provides residential and small business electronic security, fire protection, and other related alarm monitoring services throughout the United States and Canada. The corporate head office is located in...ADTInc.（原名ADTCorporation）是一家美国安保公司，在美国和加拿大为住宅和小型企业提供电子安防、消防保护及其他相关报警监控服务。公司总部位于佛罗里达州博卡拉顿。
Cyclical周期股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~15 day(s) ago @ 6.3 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's miss日线转向已经完成——低点于约 15 天前形成 @ 6.3，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$7.00
19.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 19.0%
Beta贝塔
0.81
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-23 (4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
73th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ADT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 5.8 points跑赢指数 5.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +8.0% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 7.4 points跑赢指数 7.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -2.9% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 7.6 points落后指数 7.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -13.7% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 21.5 points落后指数 21.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -11.1% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 20.2 points落后指数 20.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -15.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 34.5 points落后指数 34.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +22.9% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 46.5 points落后指数 46.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+4.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-5.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
73th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$6.92
Don't chase above不追高于
$7.07
Stop止损
$6.30
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
4
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-23
Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -0.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
15.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.84 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.93 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $606.8M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $54.6M |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/7
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Beta市场敏感度
0.81×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/7
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.1M net (1 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.1M 净值（1 买家，0 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 10, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 3, 2026
ADT weekly MACD crossed upADT 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → BUY ZONE下跌趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 1, 2026
ADT daily MACD crossed upADT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $6.72.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$6.72。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.33
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1
Company Profile公司档案
ADT Inc., formerly the ADT Corporation, is an American security company that provides residential and small business electronic security, fire protection, and other related alarm monitoring services throughout the United States and Canada. The corporate head office is located in...ADTInc.（原名ADTCorporation）是一家美国安保公司，在美国和加拿大为住宅和小型企业提供电子安防、消防保护及其他相关报警监控服务。公司总部位于佛罗里达州博卡拉顿。
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