American Eagle Outfitters · Consumer Disc.
AEO
$17.03
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. is an American clothing and accessories retailer headquartered at SouthSide Works in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.AmericanEagleOutfitters,Inc.是一家美国服装和配饰零售商，总部位于宾夕法尼亚州匹兹堡的SouthSideWorks。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Mid cap中盘
$3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~4 day(s) ago @ 16.03 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mis日线转向已经完成——低点于约 4 天前形成 @ 16.03，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$17.03
38.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 38.9%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
15.5x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.77
Moves about 1.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
44th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
9.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AEO | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.8 points跑赢指数 2.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.3% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -12.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 17.0 points落后指数 17.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -32.6% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 40.4 points落后指数 40.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -34.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 43.8 points落后指数 43.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +72.6% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 53.2 points跑赢指数 53.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +43.7% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 25.7 points落后指数 25.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+1.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-12.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
44th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$16.73
Don't chase above不追高于
$17.27
Stop止损
$16.03
Partial entry — half size now部分入场 — 当前可建半仓
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AEO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 15.47x | 20.23 | 66% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.70x | 2.97 | 74% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.52x | 1.23 | 78% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 6.46% | 4.53 | 70% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.79% | 5.69 | 61% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.94% | 4.31 | 58% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 5.88x | 11.48 | 85% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 14.73x | 16.53 | 58% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
11.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.53 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.51 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $56.9M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $39.4M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -10.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.3)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 73% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 73% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.77×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
AEO daily MACD crossed upAEO 日线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$38.9M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$38.9M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
AEO daily MACD crossed upAEO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $17.49.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$17.49。
Jul 15, 2026
AEO StochRSI turned up from oversoldAEO StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $17.41.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$17.41。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → NEARING A LOW接近高点 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
AEO StochRSI turned up from oversoldAEO StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $16.81.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$16.81。
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
AEO daily MACD crossed downAEO 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $16.94.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$16.94。
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 252 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.24
Value价值
+1.0
Profitability盈利能力
+1.1
Quality质量
+1.0
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.2
Low volatility低波动
-2.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.1
Company Profile公司档案
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. is an American clothing and accessories retailer headquartered at SouthSide Works in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.AmericanEagleOutfitters,Inc.是一家美国服装和配饰零售商，总部位于宾夕法尼亚州匹兹堡的SouthSideWorks。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。