Advance Auto Parts, Inc. · Consumer Disc.
AAP
$53.16
Advance Auto Parts is an American automotive aftermarket parts provider. Headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina, it serves professional installer and do it yourself (DIY) customers.AdvanceAutoParts是一家美国汽车售后零部件供应商，总部位于北卡罗来纳州罗利市，服务于专业安装商和DIY客户。
Distressed困境股
Mid cap中盘
$3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$53.16
18.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.8%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
72.5x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.15
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
41
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
90th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
19.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AAP | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -8.3% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 6.8 points落后指数 6.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -8.1% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 8.7 points落后指数 8.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -7.5% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 12.2 points落后指数 12.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +23.6% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 15.8 points跑赢指数 15.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +38.1% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 29.0 points跑赢指数 29.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -11.6% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 31.0 points落后指数 31.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -18.9% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 88.3 points落后指数 88.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
41
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-6.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+1.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
90th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$52.09
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AAP | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 72.49x | 20.23 | 3% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.45x | 2.97 | 79% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.37x | 1.23 | 86% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.38% | 4.53 | 14% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -9.34% | 5.69 | 2% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.19x | 11.48 | 28% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -3.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -36.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
2.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.26 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.75 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $36.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.7)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 40% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 40% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.15×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
AAP weekly MACD crossed downAAP 周线MACD下穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.4M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.4M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 17, 2026
AAP weekly MACD crossed downAAP 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 16, 2026
AAP reclaimed its 200-day averageAAP 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $53.13.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$53.13。
Jul 15, 2026
AAP lost its 200-day averageAAP 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $52.09.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$52.09。
Jul 15, 2026
AAP broke down vs the marketAAP 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $52.09.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$52.09。
Jul 14, 2026
AAP StochRSI turned up from oversoldAAP StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $55.41.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$55.41。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
AAP daily MACD crossed downAAP 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $56.07.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$56.07。
Jul 2, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 249 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.15
Value价值
+0.9
Profitability盈利能力
+0.0
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
-1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
-2.2
Company Profile公司档案
Advance Auto Parts is an American automotive aftermarket parts provider. Headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina, it serves professional installer and do it yourself (DIY) customers.AdvanceAutoParts是一家美国汽车售后零部件供应商，总部位于北卡罗来纳州罗利市，服务于专业安装商和DIY客户。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。