RL Ralph Lauren Corporation · $380.45 Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底 Terminal终端
Ralph Lauren Corporation · Consumer Disc.

RL

$380.45
Ralph Lauren Corporation is a publicly traded American fashion and lifestyle brand founded in 1967 by Ralph Lauren in New York City. The company markets products in apparel, home, accessories, and fragrances, and is most known for its flagship brand,...拉尔夫·劳伦公司是一家公开上市的美国时尚和生活方式品牌,由拉尔夫·劳伦于1967年在纽约市创立。该公司营销服装、家居、配饰和香水产品,以其旗舰品牌PoloRalphLauren最为知名。
Cyclical周期股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 368.97.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 368.97 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$380.45
7.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 7.9%
Beta贝塔
1.36
Moves about 1.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
47
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
63th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 RL S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -3.7% -1.5% Lagged the index by 2.2 points落后指数 2.2 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -5.6% +0.6% Lagged the index by 6.2 points落后指数 6.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -1.7% +4.7% Lagged the index by 6.4 points落后指数 6.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +5.1% +7.8% Lagged the index by 2.7 points落后指数 2.7 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +5.2% +9.1% Lagged the index by 3.9 points落后指数 3.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +34.0% +19.4% Beat the index by 14.6 points跑赢指数 14.6 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 47 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +0.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +6.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 63th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$369.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$380.50
Stop止损
$369.00
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望

Earnings财务业绩

18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06

Estimates being raised — 12 analysts预期上调 — 12 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$4.4B
2021
$6.2B
2022
$6.4B
2023
$6.6B
2024
$7.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-1.65
2021
$8.07
2022
$7.58
2023
$9.71
2024
$11.61
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$273.1M
2021
$549.0M
2022
$193.5M
2023
$904.9M
2024
$1.0B
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
69.9%
Operating margin营业利润率
13.2%
Net margin净利率
11.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
14.2%
32.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
12.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.68
Current ratio流动比率1.78
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
1.36×
0.2
Moves about 1.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight) theme — #34 of 46 themes「非必需消费(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 34 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 RL StochRSI turned up from oversoldRL StochRSI自超卖区上行

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.71%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.05%
Call wall看涨密集区
$400
Put wall看跌密集区
$370
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$395
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.5%
Skew: 偏斜:fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$17.7M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$17.7M 净值(0 买家,2 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum positive; but rolling toward a weekly cross-down; 3-day crossed down; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量为正;但正趋向周线向下交叉;3 日线向下交叉;上一周期左移(见顶偏早))。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
RL StochRSI turned up from oversoldRL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $380.45.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$380.45。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 10, 2026
RL StochRSI turned up from oversoldRL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $394.90.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$394.90。
Jun 30, 2026
TOPPING → BOTTOMING做顶中 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → TOPPING上涨趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
RL daily MACD crossed downRL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $397.61.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$397.61。
Jun 24, 2026
RL made a new 52-week highRL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $413.24.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$413.24。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.69
Profitability盈利能力
+2.3
Quality质量
+0.3
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.4

Company Profile公司档案

Ralph Lauren Corporation is a publicly traded American fashion and lifestyle brand founded in 1967 by Ralph Lauren in New York City. The company markets products in apparel, home, accessories, and fragrances, and is most known for its flagship brand,...拉尔夫·劳伦公司是一家公开上市的美国时尚和生活方式品牌,由拉尔夫·劳伦于1967年在纽约市创立。该公司营销服装、家居、配饰和香水产品,以其旗舰品牌PoloRalphLauren最为知名。
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