PTON Peloton Interactive, Inc. · $6.12 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Peloton Interactive, Inc. · Consumer Disc.

PTON

$6.12
Peloton Interactive, Inc. is an American exercise equipment and media company based in New York City.PelotonInteractive,Inc.是一家总部位于纽约市的美国健身器材和媒体公司。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$6.12
32.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 32.0%
Beta贝塔
1.81
Moves about 1.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
57
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
10th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 PTON S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +4.4% -1.5% Beat the index by 5.9 points跑赢指数 5.9 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +10.7% +0.6% Beat the index by 10.1 points跑赢指数 10.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +20.0% +4.7% Beat the index by 15.3 points跑赢指数 15.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -3.3% +7.8% Lagged the index by 11.1 points落后指数 11.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +0.0% +9.1% Lagged the index by 9.1 points落后指数 9.1 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -2.5% +19.4% Lagged the index by 21.9 points落后指数 21.9 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -31.4% +69.4% Lagged the index by 100.8 points落后指数 100.8 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 57 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +6.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +5.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 10th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$5.95
Don't chase above不追高于
$6.12
Stop止损
$5.43
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06

Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.8B
2020
$4.0B
2021
$3.6B
2022
$2.8B
2023
$2.7B
2024
$2.5B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-0.32
2020
$-0.64
2021
$-8.77
2022
$-3.64
2023
$-1.51
2024
$-0.30
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$220.0M
2020
-$480.7M
2021
-$2.4B
2022
-$470.0M
2023
-$85.8M
2024
$323.7M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
50.9%
Operating margin营业利润率
-1.5%
Net margin净利率
-4.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
13.4%
36.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
-5.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA13.23
Current ratio流动比率1.79
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
1.81×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$13.2M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$13.2M 净值（0 买家，8 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Coatue Management A New position新建仓 0.0% 2026-03-31
Polen Capital Management B exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 5.43) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 18 天前形成 @ 5.43）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 14, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
PTON reclaimed its 200-day averagePTON 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $6.08.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$6.08。
Jul 13, 2026
PTON took relative-strength leadershipPTON 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $6.08.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$6.08。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 10, 2026
PTON lost its 200-day averagePTON 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $5.86.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$5.86。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
PTON reclaimed its 200-day averagePTON 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $5.94.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$5.94。
Jul 9, 2026
PTON took relative-strength leadershipPTON 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $5.94.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$5.94。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 284 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.80
Profitability盈利能力
+1.5
Quality质量
+3.0
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Low volatility低波动
-1.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+2.8
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.6

Company Profile公司档案

Peloton Interactive, Inc. is an American exercise equipment and media company based in New York City.PelotonInteractive,Inc.是一家总部位于纽约市的美国健身器材和媒体公司。
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