NKE Nike, Inc. · $43.76 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端
Nike, Inc. · Consumer Disc.

NKE

$43.76
Nike, Inc. is an American athletic footwear and apparel corporation headquartered near Beaverton, Oregon.耐克公司是一家美国运动鞋服企业,总部位于俄勒冈州比弗顿附近。
Mixed profile混合特征
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Trend intact — hold; add on dips toward the 10-day average.趋势完好——持有;可在回调至 10 日均线附近时加仓。
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Price Chart价格图表

NIKE, INC. 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.00 43.76 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 114.2MVOL MACD -0.018 MASTERMIND NKEDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$43.76
43.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 43.3%
Forward P/E预测市盈率
18.8x
Beta贝塔
0.79
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
3.75%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
52
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-06-30 (-19d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
77th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 NKE S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -1.4% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 -1.0% +0.6% Lagged the index by 1.6 points落后指数 1.6 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -4.1% +4.7% Lagged the index by 8.8 points落后指数 8.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -31.0% +7.8% Lagged the index by 38.8 points落后指数 38.8 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -29.8% +9.1% Lagged the index by 38.9 points落后指数 38.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -38.4% +19.4% Lagged the index by 57.8 points落后指数 57.8 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -57.5% +69.4% Lagged the index by 126.9 points落后指数 126.9 个百分点
5 Years近5年 -70.3% +83.9% Lagged the index by 154.2 points落后指数 154.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
Long-term Falling Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud
RSI (14)RSI(14) 52 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +0.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -20.7% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 13 No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位 77th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$43.17
Don't chase above不追高于
$43.76
Stop止损
$40.75
Hold — don't add here持有 — 此处不宜加仓

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$37.4B
2020
$44.5B
2021
$46.7B
2022
$51.2B
2023
$51.4B
2024
$46.3B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.60
2020
$3.56
2021
$3.75
2022
$3.23
2023
$3.73
2024
$2.16
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$1.4B
2020
$6.0B
2021
$4.4B
2022
$4.9B
2023
$6.6B
2024
$3.3B
2025
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率2.21
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$3.0B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$709.0M
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/8 Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
0.79×
0.2
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/8
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
3.75%
Pays a dividend (3.75% yield)有分红(收益率 3.75%)

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight) theme — #34 of 46 themes「非必需消费(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 34 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +26.7%空头仓位变动 +26.7%
Technical技术面 NKE broke down vs the marketNKE 相对市场走弱

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.29%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.12%
Call wall看涨密集区
$48
Put wall看跌密集区
$40
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$44
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.9%
Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.1M net (4 buyers, 3 sellers)-$1.1M 净值(4 买家,3 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD. Day 14 of the cycle, trend intact above a rising 10-day average, weekly still mixed. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell持有。周期第 14 天,趋势完好并位于向上的 10 日均线之上,周线仍为混合。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
RALLY ON UPTREND
Jul 15, 2026
NKE broke down vs the marketNKE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $42.77.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$42.77。
Jul 14, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
NKE daily MACD crossed upNKE 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $43.34.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$43.34。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
NKE StochRSI turned up from oversoldNKE StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $43.06.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$43.06。
Jun 26, 2026
NKE printed a daily-cycle lowNKE 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $40.75.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$40.75。
Jun 25, 2026
TOPPING → DOWNTREND做顶中 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 25, 2026
NKE made a new 52-week lowNKE 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $40.90.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$40.90。
Jun 24, 2026
NKE broke down vs the marketNKE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $41.82.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$41.82。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.56
Quality质量
+0.9
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1

Company Profile公司档案

Nike, Inc. is an American athletic footwear and apparel corporation headquartered near Beaverton, Oregon.耐克公司是一家美国运动鞋服企业,总部位于俄勒冈州比弗顿附近。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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