AMAT
Applied Materials
·
$529.66
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Applied Materials · Tech
AMAT
$529.66
Applied Materials, Inc. is an American corporation that supplies equipment, services and software for the manufacture of semiconductor chips for electronics, flat panel displays for computers, smartphones, televisions, and solar products.应用材料公司是一家美国企业，为电子、电脑、智能手机、电视和太阳能产品的半导体芯片、平板显示器制造提供设备、服务和软件。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Mega cap超大盘
$420B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–2 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–2 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$529.66
26.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 26.7%
Market Cap市值
$420B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
60.0x
40.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
31.6x
EPS每股收益 $8.82
Beta贝塔
2.59
Moves about 2.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.6 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.40%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
97th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AMAT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -12.1% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 10.6 points落后指数 10.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -10.7% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 11.3 points落后指数 11.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +33.6% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 28.9 points跑赢指数 28.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +62.4% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 54.6 points跑赢指数 54.6 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +97.5% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 88.4 points跑赢指数 88.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +177.1% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 157.7 points跑赢指数 157.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +275.6% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 206.2 points跑赢指数 206.2 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +331.0% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 247.1 points跑赢指数 247.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
RSI-14 Oversold EntryRSI-21 Oversold EntryShort-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+48.0% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
19
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
97th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$490.90
Don't chase above不追高于
$529.70
Stop止损
$529.70
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 6 analysts预期上调 — 6 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AMAT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 60.02x | 40.17 | 35% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 31.6x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 19.34x | 5.85 | 14% |
| P/S市销率 | 14.81x | 4.85 | 12% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.67% | 2.19 | 44% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.36% | 3.05 | 25% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.17% | 2.16 | 34% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 48.06x | 29.30 | 33% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 73.71x | 30.46 | 18% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 17.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
32.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
18.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.09 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.61 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $4.9B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $668.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -3.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (20.0)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 24% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 24% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.59×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
0.40%
Pays a dividend (0.40% yield)有分红（收益率 0.40%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
AMAT daily MACD crossed downAMAT 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±6.05%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±13.52%
Call wall看涨密集区
$585
Put wall看跌密集区
$500
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$599
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.8%
Flow资金流向
$137M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 97 fresh positions; P/C 1.07; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $137M；0DTE占0%；97个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.07；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$6.5M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$6.5M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiger Global (Coleman) | B | Adding加仓 | 2.5% | 2026-03-31 |
| Coatue Management | A | trimtrim | 6.2% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 6, 2026
AMAT daily MACD crossed downAMAT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $592.79.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$592.79。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
AMAT made a new 52-week highAMAT 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $694.64.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$694.64。
Jun 29, 2026
AMAT RSI reached overboughtAMAT RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $694.64.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$694.64。
Jun 25, 2026
AMAT made a new 52-week highAMAT 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $668.00.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$668.00。
Jun 25, 2026
AMAT RSI reached overboughtAMAT RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $668.00.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$668.00。
Jun 17, 2026
AMAT made a new 52-week highAMAT 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $592.92.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$592.92。
Jun 11, 2026
AMAT made a new 52-week highAMAT 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $552.64.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$552.64。
Jun 11, 2026
AMAT RSI reached overboughtAMAT RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $552.64.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$552.64。
Jun 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3832 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.43
Value价值
-1.0
Profitability盈利能力
+0.3
Quality质量
+0.3
Investment资本投入
-0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
-1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-2.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
Applied Materials, Inc. is an American corporation that supplies equipment, services and software for the manufacture of semiconductor chips for electronics, flat panel displays for computers, smartphones, televisions, and solar products.应用材料公司是一家美国企业，为电子、电脑、智能手机、电视和太阳能产品的半导体芯片、平板显示器制造提供设备、服务和软件。
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for wafer-fab equipment (one step back, longer lead)云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——晶圆制造设备（上游一环，前置更长）的需求来源
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。