Target Corporation · Staples
TGT
$139.60
Target Corporation is an American retail corporation headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States. Target operates retail stores.TargetCorporation是一家美国零售公司，总部位于美国明尼苏达州明尼阿波利斯。Target经营零售门店。
Mixed profile混合特征
Large cap大盘
$63B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 126.1.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 126.1 则明确离场。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$139.60
1.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.1%
Market Cap市值
$63B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
17.1x
24.1x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
15.6x
EPS每股收益 $8.18
Beta贝塔
0.48
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
3.32%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
62
Elevated偏高
Volatility Rank波动率分位
95th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | TGT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 4.8 points跑赢指数 4.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +9.2% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 8.6 points跑赢指数 8.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +10.2% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 5.5 points跑赢指数 5.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +27.9% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 20.1 points跑赢指数 20.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +41.6% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 32.5 points跑赢指数 32.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +40.6% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 21.2 points跑赢指数 21.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +19.2% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 50.2 points落后指数 50.2 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | -35.3% | +83.9% | Lagged the index by 119.2 points落后指数 119.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Long-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralIchimoku — Price Above Cloud
RSI (14)RSI（14）
62
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+8.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+26.5% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
15
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
95th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$137.85
Don't chase above不追高于
$141.00
Stop止损
$126.10
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | TGT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 17.06x | 24.10 | 77% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 15.6x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 3.91x | 3.38 | 42% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.60x | 1.28 | 69% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.86% | 3.76 | 81% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.48% | 4.71 | 46% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.89% | 2.48 | 62% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 8.74x | 12.39 | 75% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 22.30x | 21.12 | 43% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -1.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
22.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.08 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.94 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $408.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $281.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.1)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 62% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 62% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.48×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
3.32%
Pays a dividend (3.32% yield)有分红（收益率 3.32%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
TGT took relative-strength leadershipTGT 取得相对强弱领先
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.48%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.55%
Call wall看涨密集区
$150
Put wall看跌密集区
$128
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.1%
Flow资金流向
$12M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 53 fresh positions; P/C 0.5; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $12M；0DTE占0%；53个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.5；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$6.3M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$6.3M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairholme Capital (Berkowitz) | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 15, 2026
TGT took relative-strength leadershipTGT 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $138.29.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$138.29。
Jul 15, 2026
TGT daily MACD crossed upTGT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $138.29.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$138.29。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
TGT StochRSI turned up from oversoldTGT StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $132.27.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$132.27。
Jul 8, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 1, 2026
TGT daily MACD crossed downTGT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $130.29.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$130.29。
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.23
Value价值
+0.3
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3
Company Profile公司档案
Target Corporation is an American retail corporation headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States. Target operates retail stores.TargetCorporation是一家美国零售公司，总部位于美国明尼苏达州明尼阿波利斯。Target经营零售门店。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。