Mondelez International · Staples
MDLZ
$61.00
Mondelez International, Inc. is an American multinational confectionery, food, holding, beverage and snack food company based in Chicago.亿滋国际公司是一家美国跨国糖果、食品、控股、饮料和零食公司，总部位于芝加哥。
Mixed profile混合特征
Large cap大盘
$78B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed @ 57.84 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the we日线转向已经完成——低点于近期形成 @ 57.84，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$61.00
10.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 10.8%
Market Cap市值
$78B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
31.9x
24.1x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
18.1x
EPS每股收益 $1.91
Beta贝塔
-0.15
Moves about -0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.1 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
3.28%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
99th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MDLZ | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 5.2 points跑赢指数 5.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.1% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +7.4% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 2.7 points跑赢指数 2.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +8.4% | +7.8% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +15.6% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 6.5 points跑赢指数 6.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -9.6% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 29.0 points落后指数 29.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -7.7% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 77.1 points落后指数 77.1 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +8.4% | +83.9% | Lagged the index by 75.5 points落后指数 75.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralRSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling DownBollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
54
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+5.7% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
13
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
99th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$60.11
Don't chase above不追高于
$61.71
Stop止损
$57.84
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -3.2% (20d)财报后漂移：-3.2%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MDLZ | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 31.90x | 24.10 | 33% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 18.1x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 3.03x | 3.38 | 54% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.03x | 1.28 | 33% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.13% | 3.76 | 41% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.14% | 4.71 | 40% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.05% | 2.48 | 54% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.49x | 12.39 | 31% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 24.17x | 21.12 | 36% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -5.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
9.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.45 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.59 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $2.4B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $114.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.3)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 38% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 38% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.15×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
3.28%
Pays a dividend (3.28% yield)有分红（收益率 3.28%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +11.0%空头仓位变动 +11.0%
Technical技术面
MDLZ daily MACD crossed upMDLZ 日线MACD上穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.97%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.40%
Call wall看涨密集区
$65
Put wall看跌密集区
$58
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$60
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.4%
Flow资金流向
$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 13 fresh positions; P/C 0.42; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占0%；13个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.42；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.2M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.2M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
MDLZ daily MACD crossed upMDLZ 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $61.42.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$61.42。
Jul 15, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 14, 2026
MDLZ broke down vs the marketMDLZ 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $58.80.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$58.80。
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
MDLZ broke down vs the marketMDLZ 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $59.48.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$59.48。
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.09
Value价值
-0.3
Profitability盈利能力
-0.9
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
+1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6
Company Profile公司档案
Mondelez International, Inc. is an American multinational confectionery, food, holding, beverage and snack food company based in Chicago.亿滋国际公司是一家美国跨国糖果、食品、控股、饮料和零食公司，总部位于芝加哥。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。