ADM Archer Daniels Midland · $85.90 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

Archer Daniels Midland · Staples

ADM

$85.90

The Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, commonly known as ADM, is an American multinational food processing and commodities trading corporation founded in 1902 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.阿彻丹尼尔斯米德兰公司，通常称为ADM，是一家美国跨国食品加工和商品贸易公司，成立于1902年，总部位于伊利诺伊州芝加哥。

Mixed profile混合特征 Large cap大盘 $41B

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤

You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 73)). Don't cha已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 73））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。

Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Price Chart价格图表

Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表 ↗

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$85.90

0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high

Market Cap市值

$41B

Normal volume正常成交量

P/E Ratio市盈率

38.3x

24.1x sector median

Forward P/E预测市盈率

15.9x

EPS每股收益 $2.24

Beta贝塔

-0.06

Moves about -0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.1 倍

Dividend Yield股息收益率

2.42%

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Overbought超买区域

Next Earnings下次财报

2026-08-04 (16d)

Volatility Rank波动率分位

18th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Short Interest空头兴趣

3.7% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期	ADM	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	+6.8%	-1.5%	Beat the index by 8.3 points跑赢指数 8.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月	+12.3%	+0.6%	Beat the index by 11.7 points跑赢指数 11.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月	+29.0%	+4.7%	Beat the index by 24.3 points跑赢指数 24.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月	+33.7%	+7.8%	Beat the index by 25.9 points跑赢指数 25.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今	+47.5%	+9.1%	Beat the index by 38.4 points跑赢指数 38.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年	+65.5%	+19.4%	Beat the index by 46.1 points跑赢指数 46.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年	+17.5%	+69.4%	Lagged the index by 51.9 points落后指数 51.9 个百分点
5 Years近5年	+69.9%	+83.9%	Lagged the index by 14.0 points落后指数 14.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号

RSI-14 Overbought EntryRSI-21 Overbought EntryBollinger Breakout UpShort-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend

RSI (14)RSI（14） 73 Overbought超买区域

vs 50-day相对50日均线 +8.3% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 +26.7% vs 200-day avg

Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX） 22 Trending趋势中

Volatility rank波动率分位 18th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Buy zone买入区间

$79.91

Don't chase above不追高于

$85.90

Stop止损

$75.08

Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

days until next report天后公布财报

2026-08-04

Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标	ADM	Sector median行业中位	Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史）	38.34x	24.10	23%
P/E (forward)市盈率（预测）	15.9x	—	—
P/S市销率	0.51x	1.28	74%
Earnings yield盈利收益率	2.61%	3.76	33%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率	10.17%	4.71	84%
Shareholder yield股东收益率	0.00%	2.48	4%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流	9.83x	21.12	82%

Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入

$64.4B

2020

$85.2B

2021

$101.6B

2022

$93.9B

2023

$85.5B

2024

$80.3B

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.5%

Earnings Per Share每股收益

$3.15

2020

$4.79

2021

$7.71

2022

$6.43

2023

$3.65

2024

$2.23

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -6.7%

Free Cash Flow自由现金流

-$3.2B

2020

$5.4B

2021

$2.2B

2022

$3.0B

2023

$1.2B

2024

$4.2B

2025

Margins利润率

Gross margin毛利率

6.3%

Net margin净利率

1.3%

FCF margin自由现金流利润率

6.8%

2.1%Return on Assets资产回报率

Leverage杠杆

Current ratio流动比率

1.37

Capital Allocation资本配置

Stock-based comp股权薪酬	$83.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）	+0.3%

Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.1) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业

Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜

Cheaper than 60% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 60% 的公司

Beta市场敏感度

-0.06×

0.21×3×

Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动

Financial Health财务健康

4/8

Altman阿尔特曼: safe

Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱

Dividend分红

2.42%

Pays a dividend (2.42% yield)有分红（收益率 2.42%）

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。

Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +19.3%空头仓位变动 +19.3%

Technical技术面 ADM weekly MACD crossed upADM 周线MACD上穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动

±2.21%

Expected weekly move预期周波动

±4.94%

Call wall看涨密集区

$90

25d risk reversal25d风险逆转

-0.6%

Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$9.6M net (1 buyers, 4 sellers)-$9.6M 净值（1 买家，4 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点

TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~16 day(s) ago @ 75.08) and overbought (daily RSI 73). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 16 天前形成 @ 75.08）且已超买（日线 RSI 73）。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入

TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH

Jul 17, 2026

ADM weekly MACD crossed upADM 周线MACD上穿

The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。

Jul 17, 2026

ADM made a new 52-week highADM 创52周新高

Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $85.90.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$85.90。

Jul 17, 2026

ADM RSI reached overboughtADM RSI进入超买

RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $85.90.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$85.90。

Jul 16, 2026

ADM took relative-strength leadershipADM 取得相对强弱领先

Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $83.00.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$83.00。

Jul 14, 2026

BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势

HOLD持有

Jul 13, 2026

UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中

BUY SETUP买入预备

Jul 7, 2026

ADM daily MACD crossed upADM 日线MACD上穿

The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $78.20.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$78.20。

Jul 3, 2026

ADM weekly MACD crossed downADM 周线MACD下穿

The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。