Keurig Dr Pepper · Staples
KDP
$30.91
Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. is a publicly traded American beverage company headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts, and Frisco, Texas.KeurigDrPepper,Inc.（Keurig胡椒博士公司）是一家美国上市饮料公司，总部位于马萨诸塞州伯灵顿和得克萨斯州弗里斯科。
Distressed困境股
Large cap大盘
$42B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–2 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–2 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$30.91
9.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 9.2%
Market Cap市值
$42B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
20.2x
24.1x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
12.2x
EPS每股收益 $1.53
Beta贝塔
0.03
Moves about 0.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
2.98%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-23 (4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
84th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | KDP | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.4% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.8% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +17.3% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 12.6 points跑赢指数 12.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +14.6% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 6.8 points跑赢指数 6.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +13.3% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 4.2 points跑赢指数 4.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -5.7% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 25.1 points落后指数 25.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +6.8% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 62.6 points落后指数 62.6 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | -1.8% | +83.9% | Lagged the index by 85.7 points落后指数 85.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)MA Sell (35)Short-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+1.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+10.5% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
19
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
84th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$30.07
Don't chase above不追高于
$30.91
Stop止损
$30.26
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近
Earnings财务业绩
4
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-23
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | KDP | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 20.20x | 24.10 | 62% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 12.2x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 1.65x | 3.38 | 73% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.53x | 1.28 | 24% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.95% | 3.76 | 67% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.58% | 4.71 | 32% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.02% | 2.48 | 8% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 13.62x | 12.39 | 44% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 27.90x | 21.12 | 28% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
8.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 3.20 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.64 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $97.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.4)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 47% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 47% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.03×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
2.98%
Pays a dividend (2.98% yield)有分红（收益率 2.98%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.07%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.64%
Call wall看涨密集区
$33
Put wall看跌密集区
$28
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$25
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-9.0%
Flow资金流向
$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 5 fresh positions; P/C 0.05; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +3,812); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占0%；5个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.05；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +3,812）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.3M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.3M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 7, 2026
KDP daily MACD crossed downKDP 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $31.49.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$31.49。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
KDP daily MACD crossed upKDP 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $33.40.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$33.40。
Jun 26, 2026
KDP RSI reached overboughtKDP RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $33.40.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$33.40。
Jun 25, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 25, 2026
KDP took relative-strength leadershipKDP 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $32.29.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$32.29。
Jun 25, 2026
KDP StochRSI turned up from oversoldKDP StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $32.29.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$32.29。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.20
Value价值
+0.2
Profitability盈利能力
-0.9
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1
Company Profile公司档案
Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. is a publicly traded American beverage company headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts, and Frisco, Texas.KeurigDrPepper,Inc.（Keurig胡椒博士公司）是一家美国上市饮料公司，总部位于马萨诸塞州伯灵顿和得克萨斯州弗里斯科。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Inventory build
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。