MCO Moody's Corporation · $510.86 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Moody's Corporation · Financials

MCO

$510.86
Moody's Corporation is an American business and financial services company. It is the holding company for Moody's Ratings, an American credit rating agency, and Moody's, an American provider of financial analysis software and services.穆迪公司是一家美国商业与金融服务企业，旗下控股穆迪评级（美国信用评级机构）和穆迪（美国金融分析软件及服务提供商）。
Financial金融股 Large cap大盘 $91B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$510.86
4.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 4.9%
Market Cap市值
$91B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
36.8x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.58
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
67
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
83th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.7% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 MCO S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +4.8% -1.5% Beat the index by 6.3 points跑赢指数 6.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +12.0% +0.6% Beat the index by 11.4 points跑赢指数 11.4 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +12.5% +4.7% Beat the index by 7.8 points跑赢指数 7.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -4.8% +7.8% Lagged the index by 12.6 points落后指数 12.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +2.8% +9.1% Lagged the index by 6.3 points落后指数 6.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +2.5% +19.4% Lagged the index by 16.9 points落后指数 16.9 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 67 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +11.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +8.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 83th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$487.35
Don't chase above不追高于
$510.90
Stop止损
$438.90
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22

Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 MCO Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 36.83x 14.99
7%
P/B市净率 22.34x 1.52
0%
P/S市销率 11.74x 2.87
14%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.71% 6.58
10%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.55% 3.91
29%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$5.4B
2020
$6.2B
2021
$5.5B
2022
$5.9B
2023
$7.1B
2024
$7.7B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$9.39
2020
$11.78
2021
$7.44
2022
$8.73
2023
$11.26
2024
$13.67
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$2.0B
2020
$1.9B
2021
$1.2B
2022
$1.9B
2023
$2.5B
2024
$2.6B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
43.4%
Net margin净利率
31.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
37.6%
60.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
15.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.20
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$1.6B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$232.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-1.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.6) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 7% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 7% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.58×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Financials (Equal-Weight) theme — #10 of 46 themes「金融（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 10 位
Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -13.7%空头仓位变动 -13.7%
Technical技术面 MCO took relative-strength leadershipMCO 取得相对强弱领先

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.78%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.97%
Call wall看涨密集区
$540
Put wall看跌密集区
$450
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$450
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.6%
Skew: 偏斜：fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$9.3M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$9.3M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Himalaya Capital (Li Lu) D New position新建仓 1.6% 2026-03-31
Egerton Capital C Adding加仓 7.5% 2026-03-31
TCI Fund Management C Holding持有 13.8% 2026-03-31
AltaRock Partners C Holding持有 9.1% 2026-03-31
Aquamarine Zurich AG (Spier) D Holding持有 8.5% 2026-06-30
Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) B Holding持有 4.1% 2026-03-31
Akre Capital Management C trimtrim 8.9% 2026-03-31
AKO Capital B trimtrim 4.4% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~15 day(s) ago @ 438.85) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 15 天前形成 @ 438.85）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
MCO took relative-strength leadershipMCO 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $519.02.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$519.02。
Jul 16, 2026
MCO RSI reached overboughtMCO RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $519.02.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$519.02。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
MCO RSI reached overboughtMCO RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $498.78.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$498.78。
Jul 2, 2026
MCO reclaimed its 200-day averageMCO 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $490.51.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$490.51。
Jul 1, 2026
MCO daily MACD crossed upMCO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $468.38.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$468.38。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 99 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.15
Value价值
-1.0
Quality质量
-0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.4
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0

Company Profile公司档案

Moody's Corporation is an American business and financial services company. It is the holding company for Moody's Ratings, an American credit rating agency, and Moody's, an American provider of financial analysis software and services.穆迪公司是一家美国商业与金融服务企业，旗下控股穆迪评级（美国信用评级机构）和穆迪（美国金融分析软件及服务提供商）。
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