Intercontinental Exchange · Financials
ICE
$139.65
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) is an American multinational financial services company that operates global financial exchanges, including stock exchanges and futures exchanges, as well as clearing houses, and provides technology and services for mortgage loan origination, closing, and servicing.洲际交易所股份有限公司（ICE）是一家美国跨国金融服务公司，运营全球金融交易所，包括股票交易所和期货交易所，以及清算所，并为抵押贷款发起、结算和服务提供技术和服务。
Distressed困境股
Large cap大盘
$79B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Trend intact — hold; add on dips toward the 10-day average.趋势完好——持有；可在回调至 10 日均线附近时加仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$139.65
25.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 25.2%
Market Cap市值
$79B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
23.9x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.30
Moves about 0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
88th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ICE | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.2% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 4.7 points跑赢指数 4.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.8% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 3.2 points跑赢指数 3.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -13.4% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 18.1 points落后指数 18.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -19.5% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 27.3 points落后指数 27.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -12.4% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 21.5 points落后指数 21.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -22.6% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 42.0 points落后指数 42.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-1.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-9.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
88th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$135.20
Don't chase above不追高于
$139.60
Stop止损
$122.90
Hold — don't add here持有 — 此处不宜加仓
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -9.2% (20d)财报后漂移：-9.2%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ICE | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 23.89x | 14.99 | 17% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.74x | 1.52 | 22% |
| P/S市销率 | 6.26x | 2.87 | 18% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.19% | 6.58 | 20% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.03% | 3.91 | 36% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
11.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.90 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.3B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $238.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.9)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 19% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 19% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.30×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Financials (Equal-Weight) theme — #10 of 46 themes「金融（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 10 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
ICE broke down vs the marketICE 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.19%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.90%
Call wall看涨密集区
$145
Put wall看跌密集区
$125
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$110
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.2%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$82.2M net (0 buyers, 9 sellers)-$82.2M 净值（0 买家，9 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | Holding持有 | 2.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| AKO Capital | B | trimtrim | 5.8% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
RALLY ON
UPTREND
Jul 10, 2026
ICE broke down vs the marketICE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $135.26.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$135.26。
Jul 2, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
ICE daily MACD crossed upICE 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $132.99.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$132.99。
Jul 1, 2026
ICE StochRSI turned up from oversoldICE StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $126.73.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$126.73。
Jun 29, 2026
ICE printed a daily-cycle lowICE 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $122.91.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$122.91。
Jun 24, 2026
ICE made a new 52-week lowICE 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $130.02.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$130.02。
Jun 24, 2026
ICE RSI reached oversoldICE RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $130.02.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$130.02。
Jun 17, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 17, 2026
ICE made a new 52-week lowICE 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $134.59.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$134.59。
Jun 17, 2026
ICE daily MACD crossed downICE 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $134.59.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$134.59。
Jun 17, 2026
ICE RSI reached oversoldICE RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $134.59.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$134.59。
Jun 16, 2026
ICE daily MACD crossed upICE 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $141.28.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$141.28。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 85 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.22
Value价值
-0.3
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
+1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1
Company Profile公司档案
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) is an American multinational financial services company that operates global financial exchanges, including stock exchanges and futures exchanges, as well as clearing houses, and provides technology and services for mortgage loan origination, closing, and servicing.洲际交易所股份有限公司（ICE）是一家美国跨国金融服务公司，运营全球金融交易所，包括股票交易所和期货交易所，以及清算所，并为抵押贷款发起、结算和服务提供技术和服务。
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。