Lennar · Consumer Disc.
LEN
$83.89
Lennar Corporation (LEN), commonly known as Lennar, is an American home construction company based in Miami-Dade County, Florida. As of 2025, it is the second-largest home construction company in the United States based on the number of homes sold.莱纳公司（LEN），通常称为莱纳，是一家美国住宅建筑公司，总部位于佛罗里达州迈阿密-戴德县。截至2025年，按已售房屋数量计算，它是美国第二大住宅建筑公司。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$83.89
40.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 40.3%
Beta贝塔
0.86
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
66th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | LEN | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.5% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -2.4% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 3.0 points落后指数 3.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -9.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 13.8 points落后指数 13.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -28.6% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 36.4 points落后指数 36.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -18.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 27.8 points落后指数 27.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -22.5% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 41.9 points落后指数 41.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-4.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-19.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
66th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$82.84
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
9.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.8B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $163.5M |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/5
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Beta市场敏感度
0.86×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/5
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Housing Chain theme — #25 of 46 themes「住房产业链」主题 — 46 个主题中第 25 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
LEN broke down vs the marketLEN 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.46%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.49%
Call wall看涨密集区
$87
Put wall看跌密集区
$80
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.1%
Flow资金流向
$2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 14 fresh positions; P/C 1.85; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +693); ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占0%；14个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.85；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +693）；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | Adding加仓 | 0.3% | 2026-03-31 |
| Basswood Capital Management | B | Holding持有 | 0.3% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 17, 2026
LEN broke down vs the marketLEN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $83.89.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$83.89。
Jul 16, 2026
LEN StochRSI turned up from oversoldLEN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $86.40.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$86.40。
Jul 15, 2026
DOWNTREND → BUY ZONE下跌趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 6, 2026
LEN broke down vs the marketLEN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $87.13.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$87.13。
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
LEN broke down vs the marketLEN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $86.54.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$86.54。
Jul 1, 2026
LEN daily MACD crossed downLEN 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $86.54.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$86.54。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.03
Quality质量
-1.5
Investment资本投入
+1.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.6
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.4
Company Profile公司档案
Lennar Corporation (LEN), commonly known as Lennar, is an American home construction company based in Miami-Dade County, Florida. As of 2025, it is the second-largest home construction company in the United States based on the number of homes sold.莱纳公司（LEN），通常称为莱纳，是一家美国住宅建筑公司，总部位于佛罗里达州迈阿密-戴德县。截至2025年，按已售房屋数量计算，它是美国第二大住宅建筑公司。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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