AON Aon plc · $367.21 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Aon plc · Financials

AON

$367.21
Aon plc is a British-American professional services firm.怡安集团是一家英裔美籍专业服务公司。
Financial金融股 Large cap大盘 $79B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$367.21
1.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.9%
Market Cap市值
$79B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
21.3x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.20
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
65
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-24 (5d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
92th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.7% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 AON S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +2.9% -1.5% Beat the index by 4.4 points跑赢指数 4.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +12.4% +0.6% Beat the index by 11.8 points跑赢指数 11.8 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +11.0% +4.7% Beat the index by 6.3 points跑赢指数 6.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +7.1% +7.8% In line with the index与指数基本持平
Year to date年初至今 +6.9% +9.1% Lagged the index by 2.2 points落后指数 2.2 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +4.0% +19.4% Lagged the index by 15.4 points落后指数 15.4 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 65 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +11.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +9.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 92th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$352.35
Don't chase above不追高于
$367.20
Stop止损
$313.60
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

5
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-24

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 AON Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 21.29x 14.99
21%
P/B市净率 8.41x 1.52
2%
P/S市销率 4.58x 2.87
31%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.70% 6.58
25%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.80% 3.91
10%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$11.1B
2020
$12.2B
2021
$12.5B
2022
$13.4B
2023
$15.7B
2024
$17.2B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$8.45
2020
$5.55
2021
$12.14
2022
$12.51
2023
$12.49
2024
$17.02
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$2.6B
2020
$2.0B
2021
$3.0B
2022
$3.2B
2023
$2.8B
2024
$3.2B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
25.3%
Net margin净利率
21.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
20.3%
39.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.10
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$2.4B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$432.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-0.8%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (1.8) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 18% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 18% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.20×
0.2
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
6/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Insurance & Brokers theme — #5 of 46 themes「保险与经纪」主题 — 46 个主题中第 5 位
Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 AON took relative-strength leadershipAON 取得相对强弱领先

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.80%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.03%
Call wall看涨密集区
$380
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$317
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.8%
Skew: 偏斜:fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$4.8M net (1 buyers, 1 sellers)-$4.8M 净值(1 买家,1 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Baupost Group (Klarman) C New position新建仓 4.8% 2026-03-31
Viking Global (Halvorsen) B Adding加仓 1.0% 2026-03-31
Polen Capital Management B trimtrim 3.0% 2026-03-31
Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) B exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 313.63) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 18 天前形成 @ 313.63)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
AON took relative-strength leadershipAON 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $368.63.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$368.63。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 13, 2026
AON RSI reached overboughtAON RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $367.35.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$367.35。
Jul 10, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 1, 2026
AON reclaimed its 200-day averageAON 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $343.56.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$343.56。
Jun 30, 2026
AON daily MACD crossed upAON 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $331.69.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$331.69。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 101 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.15
Value价值
-0.7
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
+0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2

Company Profile公司档案

Aon plc is a British-American professional services firm.怡安集团是一家英裔美籍专业服务公司。
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