GHC Graham Holdings · $1177.86 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Graham Holdings · Consumer Disc.

GHC

$1177.86
Graham Holdings Company is a diversified American conglomerate holding company. Headquartered in Arlington County, Virginia, and incorporated in Delaware, it was formerly the owner of The Washington Post newspaper and Newsweek magazine.格雷厄姆控股公司是一家多元化的美国综合性控股公司，总部位于弗吉尼亚州阿灵顿县，在特拉华州注册成立，曾为《华盛顿邮报》和《新闻周刊》的所有者。
Cyclical周期股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$1177.86
2.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.0%
Beta贝塔
0.63
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
50th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 GHC S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.8% -1.5% Beat the index by 3.3 points跑赢指数 3.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +4.7% +0.6% Beat the index by 4.1 points跑赢指数 4.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +2.2% +4.7% Lagged the index by 2.5 points落后指数 2.5 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +3.4% +7.8% Lagged the index by 4.4 points落后指数 4.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +8.7% +9.1% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Year近1年 +31.5% +19.4% Beat the index by 12.1 points跑赢指数 12.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +111.2% +69.4% Beat the index by 41.8 points跑赢指数 41.8 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 55 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +3.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +7.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 50th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$1167.50
Don't chase above不追高于
$1177.90
Stop止损
$1125.40
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.9B
2020
$3.2B
2021
$3.9B
2022
$4.4B
2023
$4.8B
2024
$4.9B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$58.13
2020
$70.45
2021
$13.79
2022
$43.82
2023
$163.40
2024
$66.47
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$141.1M
2020
$39.9M
2021
$152.9M
2022
$166.4M
2023
$324.1M
2024
$275.3M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
4.8%
Net margin净利率
6.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
7.1%
6.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.95
Current ratio流动比率1.75
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
0.63×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面 GHC made a new 52-week highGHC 创52周新高

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 1125.43) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 20 天前形成 @ 1125.43）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
GHC made a new 52-week highGHC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $1,202.05.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$1,202.05。
Jul 13, 2026
GHC daily MACD crossed upGHC 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $1,182.42.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$1,182.42。
Jul 9, 2026
GHC daily MACD crossed downGHC 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $1,156.12.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$1,156.12。
Jul 1, 2026
GHC daily MACD crossed upGHC 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $1,168.05.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$1,168.05。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
GHC daily MACD crossed downGHC 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $1,139.60.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$1,139.60。
Jun 29, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BUY ZONE接近低点 → 买入区
BUY买入

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 239 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.51
Quality质量
+0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.5

Company Profile公司档案

Graham Holdings Company is a diversified American conglomerate holding company. Headquartered in Arlington County, Virginia, and incorporated in Delaware, it was formerly the owner of The Washington Post newspaper and Newsweek magazine.格雷厄姆控股公司是一家多元化的美国综合性控股公司，总部位于弗吉尼亚州阿灵顿县，在特拉华州注册成立，曾为《华盛顿邮报》和《新闻周刊》的所有者。
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