Howmet Aerospace · Industrials
HWM
$272.43
Howmet Aerospace Inc. is an American aerospace company based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.HowmetAerospaceInc.是一家总部位于宾夕法尼亚州匹兹堡的美国航空航天公司。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$109B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 264.6.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 264.6 下方。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$272.43
3.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 3.8%
Market Cap市值
$109B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
72.6x
29.9x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
45.0x
EPS每股收益 $3.75
Beta贝塔
1.02
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.18%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
11th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | HWM | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.6% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.1 points跑赢指数 2.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -3.8% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 4.4 points落后指数 4.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +6.6% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 1.9 points跑赢指数 1.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +21.3% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 13.5 points跑赢指数 13.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +28.8% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 19.7 points跑赢指数 19.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +44.6% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 25.2 points跑赢指数 25.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +448.5% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 379.1 points跑赢指数 379.1 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +773.1% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 689.2 points跑赢指数 689.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Long-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universeInsider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+2.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+17.6% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
11
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
11th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$268.00
Don't chase above不追高于
$272.40
Stop止损
$264.60
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -6.6% (20d)财报后漂移：-6.6%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | HWM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 72.56x | 29.89 | 10% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 45.0x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 20.44x | 3.90 | 3% |
| P/S市销率 | 13.26x | 2.21 | 1% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.38% | 3.10 | 18% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.31% | 3.81 | 13% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.64% | 2.29 | 15% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 47.97x | 16.39 | 4% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 76.46x | 25.50 | 6% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
28.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
13.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.99 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.13 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $700.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $73.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (13.3)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 6% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 6% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.02×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
0.18%
Pays a dividend (0.18% yield)有分红（收益率 0.18%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -15.3%空头仓位变动 -15.3%
Technical技术面
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.79%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.24%
Call wall看涨密集区
$280
Put wall看跌密集区
$250
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$259
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.1%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 22 fresh positions; P/C 0.49; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；22个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.49；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$11.6M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$11.6M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 15, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 14, 2026
HWM StochRSI turned up from oversoldHWM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $276.78.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$276.78。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 10, 2026
HWM weekly MACD crossed downHWM 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
HWM StochRSI turned up from oversoldHWM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $277.91.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$277.91。
Jul 2, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.25
Value价值
-1.1
Quality质量
+0.0
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
Howmet Aerospace Inc. is an American aerospace company based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.HowmetAerospaceInc.是一家总部位于宾夕法尼亚州匹兹堡的美国航空航天公司。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
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