F Ford Motor Company · $14.23 Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底 Terminal终端
Ford Motor Company · Consumer Disc.

F

$14.23
The Ford Motor Company is an American multinational automobile manufacturer headquartered in Dearborn, Michigan, United States. It was founded by Henry Ford and incorporated on June 16, 1903.福特汽车公司(FordMotorCompany)是一家美国跨国汽车制造商,总部位于美国密歇根州迪尔伯恩,由亨利·福特创立,于1903年6月16日注册成立。
Cyclical周期股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 13.36.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 13.36 下方。
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Price Chart价格图表

FORD MOTOR COMPANY 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 14.23 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 216.3MVOL MACD -0.041 MASTERMIND FDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$14.23
18.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.4%
Forward P/E预测市盈率
7.8x
Beta贝塔
1.27
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
4.22%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
53
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
23th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 F S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.6% -1.5% Beat the index by 3.1 points跑赢指数 3.1 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +1.9% +0.6% Beat the index by 1.3 points跑赢指数 1.3 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +12.0% +4.7% Beat the index by 7.3 points跑赢指数 7.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +7.1% +7.8% In line with the index与指数基本持平
Year to date年初至今 +9.2% +9.1% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Year近1年 +33.9% +19.4% Beat the index by 14.5 points跑赢指数 14.5 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +21.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 48.1 points落后指数 48.1 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +41.0% +83.9% Lagged the index by 42.9 points落后指数 42.9 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralIchimoku — Price Below CloudTrend Ribbon — Uptrend StateTrend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend
RSI (14)RSI(14) 53 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +0.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +9.4% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 12 No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位 23th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$13.89
Don't chase above不追高于
$14.23
Stop止损
$13.36
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: +34.8% (20d)财报后漂移:+34.8%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$127.1B
2020
$136.3B
2021
$158.1B
2022
$176.2B
2023
$185.0B
2024
$187.3B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-0.32
2020
$4.45
2021
$-0.49
2022
$1.08
2023
$1.46
2024
$-2.06
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$18.5B
2020
$9.6B
2021
-$13.0M
2022
$6.7B
2023
$6.7B
2024
$12.5B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
-4.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
11.4%
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-3.43
Current ratio流动比率1.07
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$0
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$510.0M
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 2/7 Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
1.27×
0.2
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
2/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
4.22%
Pays a dividend (4.22% yield)有分红(收益率 4.22%)

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight) theme — #34 of 46 themes「非必需消费(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 34 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.75%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.16%
Call wall看涨密集区
$15
Put wall看跌密集区
$13
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$13
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
1.3%
Skew: 偏斜:greed

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: +$2.0M net (2 buyers, 0 sellers)+$2.0M 净值(2 买家,0 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum positive; but rolling toward a weekly cross-down; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量为正;但正趋向周线向下交叉;上一周期左移(见顶偏早))。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 15, 2026
F daily MACD crossed upF 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $14.18.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$14.18。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A LOW → NEARING A HIGH接近低点 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
F StochRSI turned up from oversoldF StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $13.56.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$13.56。
Jul 2, 2026
F printed a daily-cycle lowF 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $13.36.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$13.36。
Jun 29, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 26, 2026
F StochRSI turned up from oversoldF StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $14.13.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$14.13。
Jun 12, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

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Factor Profile因子特征

Investment资本投入
+0.4
Low volatility低波动
+0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.4

Company Profile公司档案

The Ford Motor Company is an American multinational automobile manufacturer headquartered in Dearborn, Michigan, United States. It was founded by Henry Ford and incorporated on June 16, 1903.福特汽车公司(FordMotorCompany)是一家美国跨国汽车制造商,总部位于美国密歇根州迪尔伯恩,由亨利·福特创立,于1903年6月16日注册成立。
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