Duolingo · Consumer Disc.
DUOL
$133.85
Duolingo, Inc. is an American educational technology company that produces learning apps and provides language certification.Duolingo,Inc.是一家美国教育科技公司，开发学习应用并提供语言认证服务。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed @ 115.02 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the w日线转向已经完成——低点于近期形成 @ 115.02，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$133.85
65.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 65.8%
Beta贝塔
0.81
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
59
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
65th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | DUOL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +7.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 8.8 points跑赢指数 8.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +8.5% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 7.9 points跑赢指数 7.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +33.2% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 28.5 points跑赢指数 28.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -10.9% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 18.7 points落后指数 18.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -24.2% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 33.3 points落后指数 33.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -63.0% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 82.4 points落后指数 82.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -15.6% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 85.0 points落后指数 85.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
59
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+13.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-14.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
65th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$130.60
Don't chase above不追高于
$136.50
Stop止损
$115.00
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 42.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
30.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
20.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -6.91 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.61 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $0 |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $137.4M |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/7
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Beta市场敏感度
0.81×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
AI Agents & Applications theme — #22 of 46 themes「AI 智能体与应用」主题 — 46 个主题中第 22 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
DUOL daily MACD crossed upDUOL 日线MACD上穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±5.35%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±11.97%
Call wall看涨密集区
$135
Put wall看跌密集区
$125
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$128
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-29.8%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$15.6M net (1 buyers, 5 sellers)-$15.6M 净值（1 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whale Rock Capital | A | trimtrim | 0.6% | 2026-03-31 |
| Durable Capital Partners | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Dragoneer Investment Group | C | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
DUOL daily MACD crossed upDUOL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $133.85.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$133.85。
Jul 16, 2026
DUOL daily MACD crossed downDUOL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $128.94.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$128.94。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 15, 2026
DUOL daily MACD crossed upDUOL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $131.22.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$131.22。
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 14, 2026
DUOL daily MACD crossed downDUOL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $128.35.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$128.35。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
DUOL took relative-strength leadershipDUOL 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $132.34.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$132.34。
Jul 13, 2026
DUOL daily MACD crossed upDUOL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $132.34.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$132.34。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
DUOL daily MACD crossed downDUOL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $124.76.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$124.76。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 247 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -1.19
Profitability盈利能力
+0.3
Quality质量
-0.8
Investment资本投入
-2.6
Low volatility低波动
-1.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Duolingo, Inc. is an American educational technology company that produces learning apps and provides language certification.Duolingo,Inc.是一家美国教育科技公司，开发学习应用并提供语言认证服务。
Demand chain:需求链： Headcount contracting (-81% YoY to ~0.1k) — the company's revealed hiring bet员工人数收缩（同比-81%，约 0.1k）——公司用招聘表达的需求押注
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。