Chevron Corporation · Energy
CVX
$187.38
Chevron Corporation is an American multinational energy corporation predominantly specializing in oil and gas. The second-largest direct descendant of Standard Oil, and originally known as the Standard Oil Company of California, it is active in more than 180 countries.ChevronCorporation是一家美国跨国能源公司，主要从事石油和天然气业务。它是标准石油公司第二大直系后代，原名加州标准石油公司，业务遍及180多个国家。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Mega cap超大盘
$374B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 165.69.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 165.69 下方。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$187.38
10.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 10.4%
Market Cap市值
$374B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
30.4x
20.8x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
15.0x
EPS每股收益 $6.16
Beta贝塔
-0.40
Moves about -0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.4 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
3.80%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
64
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-07 (19d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
75th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
0.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CVX | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +6.2% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 7.7 points跑赢指数 7.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +5.5% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 4.9 points跑赢指数 4.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +2.8% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 1.9 points落后指数 1.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +14.8% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 7.0 points跑赢指数 7.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +22.5% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 13.4 points跑赢指数 13.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +29.0% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 9.6 points跑赢指数 9.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +38.3% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 31.1 points落后指数 31.1 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +133.3% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 49.4 points跑赢指数 49.4 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Buy (100)Bollinger Breakout UpLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
64
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+3.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+9.5% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
21
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
75th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$176.60
Don't chase above不追高于
$187.40
Stop止损
$165.70
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
19
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-07
Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -7.8% (20d)财报后漂移：-7.8%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CVX | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 30.40x | 20.82 | 30% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 15.0x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 2.01x | 1.68 | 42% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.98x | 1.93 | 44% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.29% | 4.36 | 39% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.44% | 5.01 | 46% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 6.64% | 3.25 | 92% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 22.53x | 19.68 | 38% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
6.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.15 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $12.1B |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +13.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.2)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 40% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 40% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.40×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
3.80%
Pays a dividend (3.80% yield)有分红（收益率 3.80%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
US Energy Complex theme — #2 of 46 themes「美国能源综合」主题 — 46 个主题中第 2 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -12.7%空头仓位变动 -12.7%
Technical技术面
CVX broke down vs the marketCVX 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.87%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.19%
Call wall看涨密集区
$200
Put wall看跌密集区
$170
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$167
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.0%
Flow资金流向
$12M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 25 fresh positions; P/C 0.32; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +23,652); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $12M；0DTE占0%；25个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.32；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +23,652）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$290.2M net (0 buyers, 9 sellers)-$290.2M 净值（0 买家，9 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | trimtrim | 6.6% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 9, 2026
CVX broke down vs the marketCVX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $174.05.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$174.05。
Jul 8, 2026
CVX daily MACD crossed upCVX 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $175.97.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$175.97。
Jul 7, 2026
CVX reclaimed its 200-day averageCVX 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $174.01.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$174.01。
Jul 6, 2026
CVX StochRSI turned up from oversoldCVX StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $168.10.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$168.10。
Jul 1, 2026
CVX printed a daily-cycle lowCVX 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $165.69.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$165.69。
Jun 30, 2026
CVX RSI reached oversoldCVX RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $165.76.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$165.76。
Jun 29, 2026
CVX lost its 200-day averageCVX 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $168.47.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$168.47。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.20
Value价值
+0.0
Quality质量
+0.3
Investment资本投入
-1.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.7
Low volatility低波动
+1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.3
Company Profile公司档案
Chevron Corporation is an American multinational energy corporation predominantly specializing in oil and gas. The second-largest direct descendant of Standard Oil, and originally known as the Standard Oil Company of California, it is active in more than 180 countries.ChevronCorporation是一家美国跨国能源公司，主要从事石油和天然气业务。它是标准石油公司第二大直系后代，原名加州标准石油公司，业务遍及180多个国家。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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