PSX Phillips 66 · $206.86 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

Phillips 66 · Energy

PSX

$206.86

The Phillips 66 Company is an American multinational energy company headquartered in Westchase, Houston, Texas. Its name, dating back to 1927 as a trademark of the Phillips Petroleum Company, assisted in establishing the newly reconfigured Phillips 66.菲利普斯66公司是一家美国跨国能源公司，总部设在德克萨斯州休斯顿西部的韦斯特蔡斯区。其名称可追溯至1927年作为菲利普斯石油公司的商标，为新重组的菲利普斯66奠定了品牌基础。

Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Large cap大盘 $83B

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤

You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 73)). Don't cha已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 73））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。

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Price Chart价格图表

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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$206.86

0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high

Market Cap市值

$83B

Normal volume正常成交量

P/E Ratio市盈率

18.8x

20.8x sector median

Forward P/E预测市盈率

11.5x

EPS每股收益 $10.99

Beta贝塔

-0.16

Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍

Dividend Yield股息收益率

2.46%

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Overbought超买区域

Next Earnings下次财报

2026-07-24 (5d)

Volatility Rank波动率分位

73th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Short Interest空头兴趣

2.0% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期	PSX	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	+9.8%	-1.5%	Beat the index by 11.3 points跑赢指数 11.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月	+23.7%	+0.6%	Beat the index by 23.1 points跑赢指数 23.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月	+33.2%	+4.7%	Beat the index by 28.5 points跑赢指数 28.5 个百分点
6 Months近6月	+51.9%	+7.8%	Beat the index by 44.1 points跑赢指数 44.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今	+60.9%	+9.1%	Beat the index by 51.8 points跑赢指数 51.8 个百分点
1 Year近1年	+70.9%	+19.4%	Beat the index by 51.5 points跑赢指数 51.5 个百分点
3 Years近3年	+126.7%	+69.4%	Beat the index by 57.3 points跑赢指数 57.3 个百分点
5 Years近5年	+235.5%	+83.9%	Beat the index by 151.6 points跑赢指数 151.6 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号

RSI-14 Overbought EntryRSI-21 Overbought EntryShort-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)

RSI (14)RSI（14） 73 Overbought超买区域

vs 50-day相对50日均线 +15.8% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 +33.7% vs 200-day avg

Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX） 25 Trending趋势中

Volatility rank波动率分位 73th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Buy zone买入区间

$189.40

Don't chase above不追高于

$206.90

Stop止损

$166.10

Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

days until next report天后公布财报

2026-07-24

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标	PSX	Sector median行业中位	Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史）	18.83x	20.82	53%
P/E (forward)市盈率（预测）	11.5x	—	—
P/B市净率	2.85x	1.68	22%
P/S市销率	0.63x	1.93	91%
Earnings yield盈利收益率	5.31%	4.36	59%
Shareholder yield股东收益率	3.77%	3.25	60%

Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入

$64.1B

2020

$111.5B

2021

$170.0B

2022

$147.4B

2023

$143.2B

2024

$132.4B

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.6%

Earnings Per Share每股收益

$-9.06

2020

$2.97

2021

$23.27

2022

$15.48

2023

$4.99

2024

$10.79

2025

Margins利润率

Net margin净利率

3.3%

FCF margin自由现金流利润率

3.7%

15.1%Return on Equity股本回报率

6.0%Return on Assets资产回报率

Leverage杠杆

Current ratio流动比率

1.30

Capital Allocation资本配置

Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）	$1.2B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬	$220.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）	-1.7%

Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.6) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业

Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜

Cheaper than 55% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 55% 的公司

Beta市场敏感度

-0.16×

0.21×3×

Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动

Financial Health财务健康

6/7

Altman阿尔特曼: safe

Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般

Dividend分红

2.46%

Pays a dividend (2.46% yield)有分红（收益率 2.46%）

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 US Energy Complex theme — #2 of 46 themes「美国能源综合」主题 — 46 个主题中第 2 位

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。

Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易

Technical技术面 PSX weekly MACD crossed upPSX 周线MACD上穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动

±2.32%

Expected weekly move预期周波动

±5.18%

Call wall看涨密集区

$210

Put wall看跌密集区

$198

25d risk reversal25d风险逆转

-0.1%

Flow资金流向

$4M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 17 fresh positions; P/C 0.23; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +2,034); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $4M；0DTE占0%；17个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.23；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +2,034）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）

Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$25.4M net (1 buyers, 5 sellers)-$25.4M 净值（1 买家，5 卖家）

Concentrated ownership集中持仓

Fund基金	Grade评级	Activity动作	% of portfolio组合占比	As of截至
Elliott Investment Management	C	Holding持有	17.5%	2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点

TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~19 day(s) ago @ 166.14) and overbought (daily RSI 73). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 19 天前形成 @ 166.14）且已超买（日线 RSI 73）。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入

TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH

Jul 17, 2026

PSX weekly MACD crossed upPSX 周线MACD上穿

The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。

Jul 17, 2026

PSX RSI reached overboughtPSX RSI进入超买

RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $206.86.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$206.86。

Jul 16, 2026

PSX took relative-strength leadershipPSX 取得相对强弱领先

Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $201.32.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$201.32。

Jul 16, 2026

PSX made a new 52-week highPSX 创52周新高

Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $201.32.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$201.32。

Jul 15, 2026

UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点

TAKE PROFITS止盈

Jul 14, 2026

PSX took relative-strength leadershipPSX 取得相对强弱领先

Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $201.45.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$201.45。

Jul 13, 2026

PSX made a new 52-week highPSX 创52周新高

Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $198.29.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$198.29。

Jul 13, 2026

PSX RSI reached overboughtPSX RSI进入超买

RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $198.29.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$198.29。

Jul 9, 2026

BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势

HOLD持有

Jul 8, 2026

PSX made a new 52-week highPSX 创52周新高

Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $187.81.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$187.81。