VLO Valero Energy · $309.65 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Valero Energy · Energy

VLO

$309.65
Valero Energy Corporation is an American-based fuels producer mostly involved in manufacturing and marketing transportation fuels and other related products. It is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, United States.瓦莱罗能源公司是一家美国燃料生产商,主要从事交通燃料及相关产品的制造和销售,总部位于美国得克萨斯州圣安东尼奥。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Large cap大盘 $94B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 73, 3-day 73 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(已超买(日线 RSI 73、3 日 73 与周线 75))。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Price Chart价格图表

VALERO ENERGY 220.00 240.00 260.00 280.00 300.00 309.65 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 19.8MVOL MACD 13.464 MASTERMIND VLODAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$309.65
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$94B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
40.2x
20.8x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
13.9x
EPS每股收益 $7.70
Beta贝塔
-0.23
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.55%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
73
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
76th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.4% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 VLO S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +10.3% -1.5% Beat the index by 11.8 points跑赢指数 11.8 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +29.1% +0.6% Beat the index by 28.5 points跑赢指数 28.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +39.1% +4.7% Beat the index by 34.4 points跑赢指数 34.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +70.6% +7.8% Beat the index by 62.8 points跑赢指数 62.8 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +89.4% +9.1% Beat the index by 80.3 points跑赢指数 80.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +119.5% +19.4% Beat the index by 100.1 points跑赢指数 100.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +192.5% +69.4% Beat the index by 123.1 points跑赢指数 123.1 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +463.0% +83.9% Beat the index by 379.1 points跑赢指数 379.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
RSI-14 Overbought EntryRSI-21 Overbought EntryShort-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)
RSI (14)RSI(14) 73 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +20.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +47.5% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 27 Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位 76th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$283.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$309.60
Stop止损
$236.30
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 VLO Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 40.22x 20.82
19%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 13.9x
P/B市净率 3.98x 1.68
15%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.49% 4.36
29%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 4.24% 3.25
70%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 30.51x 8.28
2%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$64.9B
2020
$114.0B
2021
$176.4B
2022
$144.8B
2023
$129.9B
2024
$122.7B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-3.50
2020
$2.27
2021
$29.04
2022
$24.92
2023
$8.58
2024
$7.57
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$1.5B
2020
$3.4B
2021
$9.8B
2022
$7.3B
2023
$4.6B
2024
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
2.6%
9.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.39
Current ratio流动比率1.65
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$2.6B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$117.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-3.7%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.3) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 12% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 12% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.23×
0.2
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
1.55%
Pays a dividend (1.55% yield)有分红(收益率 1.55%)

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 US Energy Complex theme — #2 of 46 themes「美国能源综合」主题 — 46 个主题中第 2 位
Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 VLO made a new 52-week highVLO 创52周新高

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.84%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.35%
Call wall看涨密集区
$320
Put wall看跌密集区
$280
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$246
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
2.4%
Flow资金流向

$23M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 50 fresh positions; P/C 2.28; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +16,199); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $23M;0DTE占0%;50个新建仓;看跌看涨比 2.28;净新增看涨持仓(偏多)(ΔOI +16,199);≈偏看涨(方向近似)

Skew: 偏斜:greed

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.7M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$3.7M 净值(0 买家,2 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~19 day(s) ago @ 236.3) and overbought (daily RSI 73, 3-day 73 & weekly 75). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 19 天前形成 @ 236.3)且已超买(日线 RSI 73、3 日 73 与周线 75)。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
VLO made a new 52-week highVLO 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $309.65.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$309.65。
Jul 17, 2026
VLO RSI reached overboughtVLO RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $309.65.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$309.65。
Jul 13, 2026
VLO made a new 52-week highVLO 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $295.79.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$295.79。
Jul 13, 2026
VLO RSI reached overboughtVLO RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $295.79.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$295.79。
Jul 10, 2026
VLO weekly MACD crossed upVLO 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 9, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
VLO took relative-strength leadershipVLO 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $282.88.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$282.88。
Jul 8, 2026
VLO made a new 52-week highVLO 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $282.88.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$282.88。
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BUY ZONE未确认转向 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 6, 2026
VLO made a new 52-week highVLO 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $270.32.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$270.32。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 3584 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.13
Value价值
-0.4
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.7
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.7

Company Profile公司档案

Valero Energy Corporation is an American-based fuels producer mostly involved in manufacturing and marketing transportation fuels and other related products. It is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, United States.瓦莱罗能源公司是一家美国燃料生产商,主要从事交通燃料及相关产品的制造和销售,总部位于美国得克萨斯州圣安东尼奥。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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