Valero Energy · Energy
VLO
$309.65
Valero Energy Corporation is an American-based fuels producer mostly involved in manufacturing and marketing transportation fuels and other related products. It is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, United States.瓦莱罗能源公司是一家美国燃料生产商,主要从事交通燃料及相关产品的制造和销售,总部位于美国得克萨斯州圣安东尼奥。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$94B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 73, 3-day 73 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(已超买(日线 RSI 73、3 日 73 与周线 75))。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$309.65
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$94B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
40.2x
20.8x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
13.9x
EPS每股收益 $7.70
Beta贝塔
-0.23
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.55%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
73
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
76th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | VLO | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +10.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 11.8 points跑赢指数 11.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +29.1% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 28.5 points跑赢指数 28.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +39.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 34.4 points跑赢指数 34.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +70.6% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 62.8 points跑赢指数 62.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +89.4% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 80.3 points跑赢指数 80.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +119.5% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 100.1 points跑赢指数 100.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +192.5% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 123.1 points跑赢指数 123.1 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +463.0% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 379.1 points跑赢指数 379.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
RSI-14 Overbought EntryRSI-21 Overbought EntryShort-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)
RSI (14)RSI(14)
73
Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+20.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+47.5% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX)
27
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
76th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$283.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$309.60
Stop止损
$236.30
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | VLO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 40.22x | 20.82 | 19% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) | 13.9x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 3.98x | 1.68 | 15% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.49% | 4.36 | 29% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.24% | 3.25 | 70% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 30.51x | 8.28 | 2% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
9.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.39 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.65 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $2.6B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $117.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | -3.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.3)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 12% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 12% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.23×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
1.55%
Pays a dividend (1.55% yield)有分红(收益率 1.55%)
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
US Energy Complex theme — #2 of 46 themes「美国能源综合」主题 — 46 个主题中第 2 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
VLO made a new 52-week highVLO 创52周新高
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.84%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.35%
Call wall看涨密集区
$320
Put wall看跌密集区
$280
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$246
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
2.4%
Flow资金流向
$23M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 50 fresh positions; P/C 2.28; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +16,199); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $23M;0DTE占0%;50个新建仓;看跌看涨比 2.28;净新增看涨持仓(偏多)(ΔOI +16,199);≈偏看涨(方向近似)
Skew: 偏斜:greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.7M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$3.7M 净值(0 买家,2 卖家)
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
VLO made a new 52-week highVLO 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $309.65.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$309.65。
Jul 17, 2026
VLO RSI reached overboughtVLO RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $309.65.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$309.65。
Jul 13, 2026
VLO made a new 52-week highVLO 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $295.79.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$295.79。
Jul 13, 2026
VLO RSI reached overboughtVLO RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $295.79.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$295.79。
Jul 10, 2026
VLO weekly MACD crossed upVLO 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 9, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
VLO took relative-strength leadershipVLO 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $282.88.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$282.88。
Jul 8, 2026
VLO made a new 52-week highVLO 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $282.88.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$282.88。
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BUY ZONE未确认转向 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 6, 2026
VLO made a new 52-week highVLO 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $270.32.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$270.32。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 3584 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.13
Value价值
-0.4
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.7
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.7
Company Profile公司档案
Valero Energy Corporation is an American-based fuels producer mostly involved in manufacturing and marketing transportation fuels and other related products. It is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, United States.瓦莱罗能源公司是一家美国燃料生产商,主要从事交通燃料及相关产品的制造和销售,总部位于美国得克萨斯州圣安东尼奥。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。