ConocoPhillips · Energy
COP
$114.71
ConocoPhillips Company is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration and production. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.康菲公司（ConocoPhillipsCompany）是一家美国跨国公司，从事碳氢化合物的勘探与生产。公司总部位于得克萨斯州休斯敦的能源走廊区。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$140B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 103.22.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 103.22 下方。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$114.71
13.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 13.6%
Market Cap市值
$140B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
17.6x
20.8x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
12.8x
EPS每股收益 $6.54
Beta贝塔
-0.36
Moves about -0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.4 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
2.93%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
71th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | COP | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +5.2% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 6.7 points跑赢指数 6.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.1% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 2.5 points跑赢指数 2.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -0.4% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 5.1 points落后指数 5.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +18.6% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 10.8 points跑赢指数 10.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +20.4% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 11.3 points跑赢指数 11.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +27.7% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 8.3 points跑赢指数 8.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +15.5% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 53.9 points落后指数 53.9 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +147.0% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 63.1 points跑赢指数 63.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+8.8% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
19
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
71th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$109.35
Don't chase above不追高于
$114.70
Stop止损
$103.20
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -11.5% (20d)财报后漂移：-11.5%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | COP | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 17.55x | 20.82 | 57% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 12.8x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 2.17x | 1.68 | 37% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.38x | 1.93 | 33% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.70% | 4.36 | 63% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 6.43% | 3.25 | 91% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 25.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
12.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.30 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $5.0B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $336.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -3.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.8)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 42% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 42% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.36×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
2.93%
Pays a dividend (2.93% yield)有分红（收益率 2.93%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
US Energy Complex theme — #2 of 46 themes「美国能源综合」主题 — 46 个主题中第 2 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -19.9%空头仓位变动 -19.9%
Technical技术面
COP broke down vs the marketCOP 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.12%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.73%
Call wall看涨密集区
$115
Put wall看跌密集区
$105
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$100
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.0%
Flow资金流向
$4M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 36 fresh positions; P/C 0.88; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $4M；0DTE占0%；36个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.88；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$141.8M net (1 buyers, 7 sellers)-$141.8M 净值（1 买家，7 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 9, 2026
COP broke down vs the marketCOP 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $108.02.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$108.02。
Jul 8, 2026
COP daily MACD crossed upCOP 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $110.72.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$110.72。
Jul 7, 2026
COP reclaimed its 200-day averageCOP 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $108.44.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$108.44。
Jul 7, 2026
COP StochRSI turned up from oversoldCOP StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $108.44.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$108.44。
Jul 6, 2026
COP lost its 200-day averageCOP 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $103.58.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$103.58。
Jul 2, 2026
COP reclaimed its 200-day averageCOP 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $104.73.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$104.73。
Jul 1, 2026
COP printed a daily-cycle lowCOP 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $103.22.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$103.22。
Jun 29, 2026
COP lost its 200-day averageCOP 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $104.20.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$104.20。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3726 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.51
Value价值
+0.1
Quality质量
+0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.6
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1
Company Profile公司档案
ConocoPhillips Company is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration and production. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.康菲公司（ConocoPhillipsCompany）是一家美国跨国公司，从事碳氢化合物的勘探与生产。公司总部位于得克萨斯州休斯敦的能源走廊区。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。