CHWY Chewy · $20.93 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Chewy · Consumer Disc.

CHWY

$20.93
Chewy, Inc. is an American online retailer of pet food and other pet-related products based in Plantation, Florida.Chewy,Inc.是一家总部位于佛罗里达州普兰泰申的美国在线宠物食品及其他宠物相关产品零售商。
Quality compounder优质复利股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 17.51.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 17.51 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$20.93
50.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 50.6%
Beta贝塔
0.83
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
61th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 CHWY S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.2% -1.5% Beat the index by 1.7 points跑赢指数 1.7 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +17.8% +0.6% Beat the index by 17.2 points跑赢指数 17.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -23.9% +4.7% Lagged the index by 28.6 points落后指数 28.6 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -38.0% +7.8% Lagged the index by 45.8 points落后指数 45.8 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -37.5% +9.1% Lagged the index by 46.6 points落后指数 46.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -45.0% +19.4% Lagged the index by 64.4 points落后指数 64.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -45.0% +69.4% Lagged the index by 114.4 points落后指数 114.4 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 54 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +1.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -25.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 61th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$20.38
Don't chase above不追高于
$20.93
Stop止损
$17.51
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: +8.6% (20d)财报后漂移：+8.6%（20日）

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$7.1B
2020
$8.9B
2021
$10.1B
2022
$11.1B
2023
$11.9B
2024
$12.6B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-0.23
2020
$-0.18
2021
$0.12
2022
$0.09
2023
$0.91
2024
$0.52
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$2.0M
2020
2021
2022
$342.9M
2023
$452.5M
2024
$562.4M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
29.8%
Operating margin营业利润率
2.0%
Net margin净利率
1.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
5.5%
44.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-2.24
Current ratio流动比率0.88
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$262.5M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$297.9M
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
0.83×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$503.3M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$503.3M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Viking Global (Halvorsen) B exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed up; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量刚刚向上交叉；投资者周期失败（跌破起始低点）；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 10, 2026
CHWY weekly MACD crossed upCHWY 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 26, 2026
DOWNTREND → UPTREND下跌趋势 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 26, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 26, 2026
CHWY daily MACD crossed upCHWY 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $18.55.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$18.55。
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → DOWNTREND上涨趋势 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 24, 2026
DOWNTREND → UPTREND下跌趋势 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 243 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.99
Profitability盈利能力
+3.0
Quality质量
+1.7
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
-0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2

Company Profile公司档案

Chewy, Inc. is an American online retailer of pet food and other pet-related products based in Plantation, Florida.Chewy,Inc.是一家总部位于佛罗里达州普兰泰申的美国在线宠物食品及其他宠物相关产品零售商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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