ServiceNow · Tech
NOW
$103.24
ServiceNow, Inc. is an American software company that supplies cloud computing platforms for the creation and management of automated business workflows.ServiceNow,Inc.是一家美国软件公司，提供用于创建和管理自动化业务工作流程的云计算平台。
Secular growth长期成长
Large cap大盘
$108B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$103.24
48.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 48.2%
Market Cap市值
$108B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
61.9x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.67
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
69th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | NOW | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.2% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 2.7 points落后指数 2.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +8.1% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 7.5 points跑赢指数 7.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +6.8% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 2.1 points跑赢指数 2.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -18.9% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 26.7 points落后指数 26.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -30.0% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 39.1 points落后指数 39.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -46.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 65.6 points落后指数 65.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-0.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-19.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
69th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$102.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$103.20
Stop止损
$89.52
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: +17.5% (20d)财报后漂移：+17.5%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | NOW | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 61.85x | 40.17 | 32% |
| P/B市净率 | 8.34x | 5.85 | 33% |
| P/S市销率 | 8.14x | 4.85 | 29% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.62% | 2.19 | 42% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.23% | 3.05 | 66% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.70% | 2.16 | 45% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 40.75x | 29.30 | 36% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 23.63x | 30.46 | 62% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 24.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 23.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
13.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -1.45 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.00 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.8B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $2.0B |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +1.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.0)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 39% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 39% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.67×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
AI Software & Platforms theme — #11 of 46 themes「AI 软件与平台」主题 — 46 个主题中第 11 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NOW daily MACD crossed downNOW 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±4.60%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±10.29%
Call wall看涨密集区
$115
Put wall看跌密集区
$95
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$110
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.8%
Flow资金流向
$105M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 78 fresh positions; P/C 0.67; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $105M；0DTE占0%；78个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.67；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.6M net (1 buyers, 8 sellers)-$1.6M 净值（1 买家，8 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akre Capital Management | C | New position新建仓 | 1.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| Soros Fund Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | Adding加仓 | 5.3% | 2026-03-31 |
| Tiger Global (Coleman) | B | trimtrim | 0.7% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
NOW daily MACD crossed downNOW 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $103.24.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$103.24。
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
NOW daily MACD crossed upNOW 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $106.32.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$106.32。
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A LOW → NEARING A HIGH接近低点 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
NOW StochRSI turned up from oversoldNOW StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $98.34.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$98.34。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 87 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.23
Value价值
-0.9
Profitability盈利能力
+0.5
Quality质量
+1.6
Investment资本投入
-1.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
-0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.9
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
ServiceNow, Inc. is an American software company that supplies cloud computing platforms for the creation and management of automated business workflows.ServiceNow,Inc.是一家美国软件公司，提供用于创建和管理自动化业务工作流程的云计算平台。
Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) accelerating (+26% YoY to ~$28B, 2.1× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）加速（同比+26%，约 $28B，覆盖营收 2.1 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。