NVR NVR, Inc. · $6490.04 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

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NVR, Inc. · Consumer Disc.

NVR

$6490.04
NVR, Inc. is an American company engaged in home construction headquartered in Reston, Virginia.NVR公司是一家总部位于弗吉尼亚州雷斯顿的美国住宅建筑企业。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Large cap大盘 $18B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$6490.04
24.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 24.0%
Market Cap市值
$18B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
13.6x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.53
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
95th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 NVR S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.2% -1.5% Beat the index by 1.7 points跑赢指数 1.7 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +3.4% +0.6% Beat the index by 2.8 points跑赢指数 2.8 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -7.3% +4.7% Lagged the index by 12.0 points落后指数 12.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -14.2% +7.8% Lagged the index by 22.0 points落后指数 22.0 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -10.8% +9.1% Lagged the index by 19.9 points落后指数 19.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -12.7% +19.4% Lagged the index by 32.1 points落后指数 32.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 50 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +3.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -7.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 95th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$6353.75
Don't chase above不追高于
$6490.00
Stop止损
$6275.90
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 NVR Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 13.56x 20.23
74%
P/B市净率 4.70x 2.97
34%
P/S市销率 1.76x 1.23
35%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 7.37% 4.53
77%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 6.04% 5.69
53%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 10.09% 4.31
87%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 16.56x 16.53
49%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$7.5B
2020
$9.0B
2021
$10.5B
2022
$9.5B
2023
$10.5B
2024
$10.3B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$230.11
2020
$320.48
2021
$491.82
2022
$463.31
2023
$506.69
2024
$436.55
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$909.1M
2020
$1.2B
2021
$1.9B
2022
$1.5B
2023
$1.3B
2024
$1.1B
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
13.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
10.9%
34.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
22.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$1.8B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$69.2M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-7.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/6 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 49% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 49% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.53×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/6
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Housing Chain theme — #25 of 46 themes「住房产业链」主题 — 46 个主题中第 25 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 NVR StochRSI turned up from oversoldNVR StochRSI自超卖区上行

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$8.9M net (1 buyers, 2 sellers)-$8.9M 净值（1 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Giverny Capital C Holding持有 3.3% 2026-03-31
Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) B Holding持有 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-17 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-17 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
NVR StochRSI turned up from oversoldNVR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $6,701.10.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$6,701.10。
Jul 8, 2026
NVR daily MACD crossed downNVR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $6,429.13.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$6,429.13。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 29, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 97 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.39
Value价值
-0.2
Quality质量
-1.1
Investment资本投入
+1.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.6
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1

Company Profile公司档案

NVR, Inc. is an American company engaged in home construction headquartered in Reston, Virginia.NVR公司是一家总部位于弗吉尼亚州雷斯顿的美国住宅建筑企业。
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