Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 215.51.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 215.51 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$233.84
6.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 6.0%
Market Cap市值
$49B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
47.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.10
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
12th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ODFL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 4.2 points跑赢指数 4.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +7.1% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 6.5 points跑赢指数 6.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +7.5% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 2.8 points跑赢指数 2.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +33.5% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 25.7 points跑赢指数 25.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +47.3% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 38.2 points跑赢指数 38.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +45.1% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 25.7 points跑赢指数 25.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+6.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+27.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
12th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$224.30
Don't chase above不追高于
$233.80
Stop止损
$215.50
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being raised — 12 analysts预期上调 — 12 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ODFL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 47.64x | 29.89 | 23% |
| P/B市净率 | 11.31x | 3.90 | 13% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.10% | 3.10 | 30% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.96% | 3.81 | 21% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.50% | 2.29 | 36% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 28.20x | 16.39 | 17% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 51.06x | 25.50 | 14% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -3.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
23.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
18.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.06 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.44 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $730.3M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $12.9M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (28.1)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 18% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 18% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.10×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
ODFL took relative-strength leadershipODFL 取得相对强弱领先
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.79%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.23%
Call wall看涨密集区
$250
Put wall看跌密集区
$230
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$215
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.9%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$18.0M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$18.0M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giverny Capital | C | Holding持有 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 16, 2026
ODFL took relative-strength leadershipODFL 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $237.15.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$237.15。
Jul 13, 2026
ODFL daily MACD crossed upODFL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $232.90.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$232.90。
Jul 8, 2026
ODFL StochRSI turned up from oversoldODFL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $218.25.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$218.25。
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 3, 2026
ODFL weekly MACD crossed downODFL 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 23, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 105 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.03
Value价值
-0.8
Quality质量
+1.2
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.0
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。