XPO, Inc. · Industrials
XPO
$215.02
XPO, Inc., formerly XPO Logistics, is an American transportation company that conducts less-than-truckload shipping, or "LTL" in North America. The company has headquarters in Greenwich, Connecticut, and has 592 locations globally.XPO,Inc.（前身为XPOLogistics）是一家美国运输公司，在北美开展零担运输业务（简称"LTL"）。公司总部位于康涅狄格州格林威治，全球拥有592个分支机构。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$25B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 196.83.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 196.83 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$215.02
5.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 5.8%
Market Cap市值
$25B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
79.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.41
Moves about 1.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
56
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
7th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | XPO | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.4% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 4.9 points跑赢指数 4.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +6.6% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 6.0 points跑赢指数 6.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -4.4% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 9.1 points落后指数 9.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +43.0% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 35.2 points跑赢指数 35.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +54.9% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 45.8 points跑赢指数 45.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +64.9% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 45.5 points跑赢指数 45.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +231.1% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 161.7 points跑赢指数 161.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
56
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+2.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+21.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
7th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$207.30
Don't chase above不追高于
$215.00
Stop止损
$196.80
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | XPO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 79.61x | 29.89 | 8% |
| P/B市净率 | 13.52x | 3.90 | 11% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.08x | 2.21 | 38% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.26% | 3.10 | 17% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.31% | 3.81 | 13% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.50% | 2.29 | 13% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 25.02x | 16.39 | 22% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 76.47x | 25.50 | 5% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -12.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 27.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
17.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.62 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.05 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $125.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $77.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.8)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 18% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 18% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.41×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durable Capital Partners | B | trimtrim | 5.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| D1 Capital Partners | A | trimtrim | 2.2% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 15, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 15, 2026
XPO broke down vs the marketXPO 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $204.82.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$204.82。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 9, 2026
XPO daily MACD crossed upXPO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $208.03.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$208.03。
Jul 8, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
XPO broke down vs the marketXPO 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $202.79.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$202.79。
Jun 29, 2026
XPO StochRSI turned up from oversoldXPO StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $206.14.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$206.14。
Jun 25, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 24, 2026
XPO printed a daily-cycle lowXPO 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $196.83.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$196.83。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.58
Value价值
-1.1
Quality质量
-0.6
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
-0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2
Company Profile公司档案
XPO, Inc., formerly XPO Logistics, is an American transportation company that conducts less-than-truckload shipping, or "LTL" in North America. The company has headquarters in Greenwich, Connecticut, and has 592 locations globally.XPO,Inc.（前身为XPOLogistics）是一家美国运输公司，在北美开展零担运输业务（简称"LTL"）。公司总部位于康涅狄格州格林威治，全球拥有592个分支机构。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。