EXPD Expeditors International · $182.80 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Expeditors International · Industrials

EXPD

$182.80
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. is an American Fortune 500 service-based logistics company with headquarters in Bellevue, Washington.ExpeditorsInternationalofWashington,Inc.是一家美国财富500强服务型物流公司,总部位于华盛顿州贝尔维尤。
Cyclical周期股 Large cap大盘 $24B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 78, 3-day 74 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(已超买(日线 RSI 78、3 日 74 与周线 73))。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$182.80
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$24B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
30.2x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.47
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
78
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
38th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.7% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 EXPD S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +6.3% -1.5% Beat the index by 7.8 points跑赢指数 7.8 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +13.8% +0.6% Beat the index by 13.2 points跑赢指数 13.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +24.7% +4.7% Beat the index by 20.0 points跑赢指数 20.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +13.1% +7.8% Beat the index by 5.3 points跑赢指数 5.3 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +21.0% +9.1% Beat the index by 11.9 points跑赢指数 11.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +62.1% +19.4% Beat the index by 42.7 points跑赢指数 42.7 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 78 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +12.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +23.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 38th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$170.80
Don't chase above不追高于
$182.80
Stop止损
$160.20
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 EXPD Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 30.20x 29.89
49%
P/B市净率 10.39x 3.90
16%
P/S市销率 2.21x 2.21
50%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.31% 3.10
54%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 3.90% 3.81
52%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.57% 2.29
65%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 20.88x 16.39
30%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 25.67x 25.50
48%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$10.1B
2020
$16.5B
2021
$17.1B
2022
$9.3B
2023
$10.6B
2024
$11.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 1.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$4.07
2020
$8.27
2021
$8.26
2022
$5.01
2023
$5.72
2024
$5.95
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$607.5M
2020
$832.2M
2021
$2.0B
2022
$1.0B
2023
$682.9M
2024
$953.4M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
9.5%
Net margin净利率
7.3%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
9.1%
34.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
16.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.18
Current ratio流动比率1.81
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$667.3M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$69.2M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-3.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (9.9) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 39% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 39% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.47×
0.2
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/7
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 EXPD made a new 52-week highEXPD 创52周新高

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.04%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.56%
Call wall看涨密集区
$195
Put wall看跌密集区
$165
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-5.7%
Skew: 偏斜:fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.3M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$3.3M 净值(0 买家,4 卖家)
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Coatue Management A exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~16 day(s) ago @ 160.16) and overbought (daily RSI 78, 3-day 74 & weekly 73). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 16 天前形成 @ 160.16)且已超买(日线 RSI 78、3 日 74 与周线 73)。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
EXPD made a new 52-week highEXPD 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $181.96.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$181.96。
Jul 13, 2026
EXPD RSI reached overboughtEXPD RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $175.50.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$175.50。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
EXPD took relative-strength leadershipEXPD 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $170.62.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$170.62。
Jul 9, 2026
EXPD made a new 52-week highEXPD 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $170.62.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$170.62。
Jul 9, 2026
EXPD daily MACD crossed upEXPD 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $170.62.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$170.62。
Jul 8, 2026
EXPD daily MACD crossed downEXPD 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $164.36.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$164.36。
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
EXPD daily MACD crossed upEXPD 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $167.57.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$167.57。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
EXPD took relative-strength leadershipEXPD 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $166.81.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$166.81。
Jul 1, 2026
EXPD made a new 52-week highEXPD 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $166.81.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$166.81。
Jul 1, 2026
EXPD StochRSI turned up from oversoldEXPD StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $166.81.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$166.81。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 102 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.03
Value价值
-0.7
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2

Company Profile公司档案

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. is an American Fortune 500 service-based logistics company with headquarters in Bellevue, Washington.ExpeditorsInternationalofWashington,Inc.是一家美国财富500强服务型物流公司,总部位于华盛顿州贝尔维尤。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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